The Commodore64 spit out the following tidbits:
- Showing the power of having good tiebreaker stats, the Bengals at 5-4 with a horrible conference record have roughly the same odds as the Colts at 5-5 who have a much better conference record (and a win over the Texans which obviously the Bengals do not).
- Scenarios in which 7 wins somehow made the playoffs were found for BUF, MIA, NE, NYJ, DEN, LV, LAC, TEN, IND, JAX, HOU. It didn’t find any with win totals that low for BAL, CIN, CLE, PIT, KC. As I mentioned in the NFC version, while the C64 searches hard for this intel, there could be a struck by lighting while winning powerball scenario that eluded it.
- It said 12 wins should assure a team of making the playoffs no matter what else happens, although it claims that CIN and PIT need 13. Same caveat on this as above.
- With the above numbers, NE and TEN definitely do not control their own destiny to make the playoffs, but it appears all the other teams still do.
- The number of wins most likely to be good for a wildcard looks like 10.
- Projected number of wins likely to be needed to win each division (i.e. 2nd place +1): North 11-12 heavy on the 12; East 10; West 10-11 favoring 11; South 10-11 also favoring 11.
- There are no division or playoff clinching scenarios and no scenarios that would eliminate anyone from playoff contention for week 11. Patriots don’t have much sand left in the hourglass though.
- Contrary to the NFC in which some relative clarity has appeared, the AFC is a quagmire wrapped in a WWE deathmatch, really only the Titans and Patriots are realistically out and nobody is at the point where they could faceplant themselves into enough wins to make it.