1: CHIEFS win at Raiders

Obviously.

2: CHARGERS win vs Ravens

The Ravens are currently ahead of us in the standings.

3: BRONCOS win vs Browns

4: JETS win vs Dolphins

5: TEXANS win vs Jaguars

The Browns, Dolphins, and Jaguars are all somewhat dangerous teams. We have the head to head tiebreaker over all teams except the Browns, so they’re the most dangerous of the three. The Dolphins and Jaguars have identical conference records, but the Jets are the less dangerous team to give a win to, and a Jets win also helps our strength of victory.

6: EAGLES win vs Bills

7: BENGALS win vs Steelers

The Bills are half a game behind the Steelers, but they’re more likely to win future games. Also, giving the Eagles a win is better than giving the Bengals a win.

8: PATRIOTS win at Giants

9: RAMS win at Cardinals

10: TITANS win vs Panthers

11: VIKINGS win vs Bears

The Patriots have no realistic shot at the playoffs. However, if they were to win, or if the Cardinals, Panthers, or Bears were to lose, that would hurt the Patriots’ chances at Caleb Williams. A Patriots win also helps our strength of schedule.

12: COMMANDERS win at Cowboys

We have the Cowboys’ 5th round draft pick.

13: 49ERS win at Seahawks

14: PACKERS win at Lions

A loss by the Seahawks or Lions hurts the Ravens’ strength of victory. Between the two games, the 49ers are the team out of this group that I’d most like to win, as it might help put their 1st round draft pick behind ours if we’re eliminated in the same round of the playoffs as they are, whereas the opposite effect occurs with the Lions.

15: FALCONS win vs Saints

A Saints loss helps the Patriots’ strength of schedule, which hurts their chances at Caleb Williams.

16: COLTS win vs Buccaneers

A Buccaneers loss doubly hurts the Panthers’ strength of schedule, which hurts the Patriots’ chances at Caleb Williams.