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NASA really is stuck between a rock and a hard place when it comes to its lunar plans. Its SLS system is a disaster, but pork barrel politics means it can’t ditch it. So it lives on, zombie-like, to suck the life and money out of better options.
Meanwhile, it’s placed all its eggs in a SpaceX basket. That company is run by someone who routinely exaggerates timelines for delivery and fails to meet them. Guess what? It’s happening again. A commenter on the OP article sums up what SpaceX has to do before humans can go back to the Moon.
- Re-light Starship engines
- Achieve stable orbit
- Dock with another Starship
- Transfer propellant
- Use transferred propellant
- Dock with Orion and/or Dragon
- Design a life support system for a volume much larger than Dragon
- Build life support system
- Test life support
- Achieve escape velocity for TLI
- Demo propulsive landing on Luna
- Demo takeoff from Luna after sitting idle
- Dock with Gateway (?) up and down
My moon landing is still set for 2026. Already scheduled the Uber. Anyone want me to bring them back a T-shirt