That’s a very competitive path, and the winner would be a deserving participant:

Kazakhstan had a shot at Slovenia to qualify outright.
Greece was robbed at home against the Netherlands and played France closely at the Stade de France.
Georgia drew with Norway and with Scotland and plays Abernathy adventurous football.
Luxembourg beat Bosnia home and away, beat Iceland, and drew with Slovakia.

I think that Greece is a favorite, but not by much.