If we win out, we will be 12-5.

Only seven teams can end 12-5 or better: Miami, KC, Pittsburgh, Baltimore, Cleveland, Indianapolis, Jacksonville. Four of those teams will win their division, meaning it is four teams for three wild card spots. AFC East would not have a contender, so it would come down to tiebreakers between Broncos, Colts, and a AFC North team. Browns and Ravens could both end up higher than 12-5.

Colts need to win out to stay in front of us. If they do, though, Steelers are 12-5, and we own tiebreakers over them (4-2 vs 5-1 in common games). Otherwise, Colts lose at least one and finish 11-6 or worse and we are at least the 7th seed.

If some other North team ended up at 12-5 (or multiple) we would only have to beat one in tie breakers, and we own the head-to-head against the Browns from today. Haven’t worked out all the scenarios with the Ravens because it doesn’t matter.

Win a measly 6 games and we’re there.