So how does this scenario play out? Well for starters we can basically forget about the Pats and Jets. Did that? Okay, good. Here’s how the situation would have to play out
Week 13 - Miami win over Titans, Buffalo win over Kansas City
Week 14 - Miami win over Jets, Buffalo win over Cowboys
Week 15 - Miami loss to Cowboys, Buffalo win over Chargers
Week 16 - Miami loss to Baltimore, Buffalo win over Patriots
Week 17 - Miami loss to Buffalo, Buffalo won over Miami
The most unlikely part of this is Buffalo win over both KC and Dallas. Buffalo going to OT against the Eagles proves that they can still hang with top teams. Dallas I’m almost more worried about than the Chiefs. Dak has looked like an MVP candidate and has had a great bounce back year. Both of these games are 50/50.
On the Miami side of things, it’s pretty safe to assume they will beat the Titans and the Jets. But past that they have a tough schedule with the perennial chokers the Dallas Cowboys, and the #1 seed in the AFC, the Baltimore Ravens. The Dallas game I would consider in the Cowboys favor, but the Ravens game is 50/50. And then the Bills beat Miami in week 17 for the division because no matter how bad the Bills may seem Miami is still their bitch.
Buffalo is mathematically still in the playoffs, and can get in as the AFC champion or as one of the three wild card teams.
Either way they need it win all five of the remaining games to get in.