I looked at EPA/play on plays with between 30-70 win% for both the pass and rush offense. (Basically ‘garbage time’ filtered out). And the results were worse than I expected.
Since Dallas has had a lot of weird game scripts with blowouts etc., it is possible some of these stats may be influenced by a small sample size
Weeks 1-7 on plays with 30-70% WP:
Dropback EPA/play = #2 Dropback Succ Rate = #4
Rush EPA/play = #32 Rush Succ Rate = #32
The pass offense has been top5 outside of garbage time. The rush offense has been the worst in the league.
But that doesn’t even cover it. The cowboys rush EPA/play in that situation is (-0.462)/play. #31 is the Saints at (-0.264). The difference from Dallas at #32 to the Saints at #31 is the same as #31 to #14.
The pass offense has been worth +0.439/play. Only beaten by MIA at +0.590/play (LOL btw). Their pass plays in these situations have been worth +0.901 more than their run plays. That is the highest disparity in the league. The only team close is MIA at +0.829 (and MIA just happens to be #1 in rush EPA/play overall). No other team has a difference above +0.380.
Not great, Bob.
Can someone explain to me what imaginary stat people are using to say we have an above average O-Line, and why is it just an eye test?
Seriously, everything starts with your offensive line, and that thing has been in decline for years. Zach Martin can’t be in literally all 5 spots at the same time.