I see more and more buzz about trades (and other planning), regarding strength of playoffs schedule.

So a quick reminder that, back in week 3, I posted about the (free) sortable ROS charts I made you, for RB/WR/TE. That earlier Reddit post is here, describing what’s behind it and ways how you might use it. In the old days, these charts appeared in my “Tiered Flex but OK” posts, here on this Reddit forum.

Here they are…

Sorted by the column to the far right = the average projected advantage in playoff weeks 15,16,17:

Basically, I developed the models in response to talk about “fantasy points allowed”-- which I have found to be not as statistically meaningful as using underlying data. (Non-fantasy-point data.) So you will see differences compared to just looking at fantasy points.

One caution: the look-ahead projections are calculated as if they were played today. Meaning with whatever team injuries and starters we see from today in week 11.

Admittedly it’s not perfect-- it still has all the usually fantasy randomness built-in-- but I think it can be a good guide. It can always go either way, of course… A couple years ago, I used it to time A.J.Brown perfectly – yes I sat my stud-- on exactly those weeks when he busted. It was great. But this year, the tool completely failed me when I tried to choose the weeks to play Pickens. But that’s just how it goes-- and will always go-- for fantasy.

If you’re curious, the underlying models have also been part of my monthly accuracy reviews. The top-most table shows that it’s been an above-average year for predicting WR and TE (whereas RB has been slightly below average).

I hope they help, but whatever you do… Good luck!

/Subvertadown

  • jaeger_masterB
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    1 year ago

    This is awesome! I had posted about RB Targets, and totally forgot this from earlier in the season. Thanks OP!

  • thedarkknight16_B
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    1 year ago

    Does this get updated based on injuries like Mandrews and Burrow out? Because Bengals/Ravens still seem high