DVOA means efficiency per play and DYAR is total volume. So by football outsiders metrics, Stroud is the 2nd best performing qb this year on a play by play basis and the most valuable overall.
His DYAR is 1031. on pace for 1964 DYAR over this season.
His DVOA is 36.8%, meaning he is 36.8% above a league average QB.
To give context to how impressive this is, I will list a few QB seasons with similar metrics.
Aaron Rodgers in 2020 in his 48 TD 5 INT season had a 33.7% DVOA and 1649 DVOA. Granted this was a 16 game season.
Mahomes 50 TD season was 39.9% DVOA and 2031 DYAR.
So Stroud is playing at a similar level to 2 MVP, HOF QBs best seasons
If you are skeptical about these advanced metrics, Stroud also grades well in traditional ones.
He is 3rd in ANY/A (and the 2 ahead of him have much better offensive rosters), 6th in passer rating and 13th in pass success rate.
He should be in serious MVP consideration, especially with the defenses he has faced so far.
Link to new Football Outsiders
Image of DVOA stats
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Texans and Baker both in better position than Deshaun lmao
Herbert is really undervalued by betting markets right now relative to his stats.
If the Chargers can rattle off a few wins in a row Herbert will be back in the MVP race, even from a distance.
Every other post on this sub is (team/player) leads the league in (stat I’ve never heard of).
I said the same thing
It goes to whatever QB on one of the 1 or 2 seed teams had the best year usually. So if Houston continues to win games, it is not outside the realm of possibilities.
I’m really waiting to see how he does against the Browns defense. If he can put up 300+ yards and a couple TDs with no interceptions then everybody should be all in on his MVP candidacy. That’s the clear best defense in the league.
My conclusion from this chart is that Purdy has a strong chance to be MVP if we get the 1 seed. His advanced stats are hold up when compared with previous MVP seasons and the formula for the award has traditionally been QB with great stats with a top seed.
Criteria 1 is being fulfilled…criteria 2 is in the balance
i was higher than most on the texans this year but thought the ceiling was going to be 7-8 wins; i don’t think anyone wants to run into that team
Being in the Pacific Northwest, I’ve seen only highlights of stroud…the only live game I saw was the last 5 mins of texans-Tampa game…man, the way he did that GW drive in 40 odd secs…the composure, smoothness etc were all peak Brady/Mahomes stuff…If you adjust for the roaster strength, CJ easily leapfrogs over Hurts, Purdy and Tua in the MVP race