Without calculating likelihood, I think it’s quite possible you picked wrong in every category except Tua’s rushing yds (3.5 is the o/u? Really?!), Carlson’s fgs, and fgs in the first half. I’m particularly concerned about Raiders over 20.5, though they’ll probably need to be to win, and AO4 with more than three rush yards.

#3 is gonna ruin it, watch Raiders shut them out and control the game clock the 3rd quarter