Top 10 Scorer | TS% w/ Them | TS% w/o Them | Gap |
---|---|---|---|
Luka | 60.8% (2nd) | 59.8% (6th) | +0.99% |
Embiid | 59.6% (7th) | 58.9 (9th) | +0.64% |
Steph | 55.4% (24th) | 52.4% (30th) | +3.03% |
KD | 58.6% (9th) | 57.0% (18th) | +1.49% |
Jokic | 59.1% (8th) | 57.0% (18th) | +1.95% |
SGA | 60.9% (2nd) | 60.8% (3rd) | +0.07% |
Tatum | 60.1% (5th) | 59.0% (9th) | +1.12% |
Maxey | 59.6% (7th) | 58.9% (9th) | +0.62% |
Giannis | 60.1% (5th) | 59.6% (7th) | +0.45% |
Mitchell | 57.0% (19th) | 56.7% (19th) | +0.22% |
Remove the scoring possessions of each top 10 scorer… what does the rest of their team’s scoring efficiency look like? Golden State’s 52.4 TS% outside of Curry would rank last among teams. They’ve also shot what would be a by far league worst 46.4 eFG% on open/wide open shots.
If Golden State outside of Steph scored at league average efficiency, their team’s overall scoring efficiency would currently rank 8th rather than 24th.
Theyre shooting hilariously bad on open shots, team is currently 36.5% from the field and 26.6% from three on open shots, when you remove Steph it 30.6% from the field and 17.9% on threes, last year they were 45.3% and 37.6% respectively. All their other zones line up with last year production:
wide open: 44.6% from the field and 40.5% on threes this year, 45% from the field and 41.9% on threes last year
tight: 51.9% from the field and 40% on threes this year, 51.6% from the field and 31.5% on threes last year
very tight: 46.7% from the field this year, 49.2% from the field last year
So one of two outcomes is likely to happen, either 1) the Warriors will have a historically poor shooting season, or 2) theyll regress too the mean