Njoku started the season slow with single digit production in 4 of his first 5 weeks, but over the past 5 weeks he’s gone over 10 points every single week, including a 17 point week against the Seahawks.
In his first 10 games, he went up against teams that have been the best at limiting TE production. 7 of them rank between 24-31, looking like a wall of red on Yahoo.
In week 11 he was targeted a whopping 15 times from Dorian Thompson-Robinson and the schedule clears up beautifully. 4 out of his final 6 are against bottom ten ranked teams vs the TE.
Combine the increased production trend with the lighter matchups and the heavy targets, Njoku could end up being a key contributor for teams in the hunt.
For the season:
Week 12: Denver (THE MOST to TE) Week 13: Rams (5th most to TE) Week 14: Jaguars (6th most to TE) Week 15: Bears (14th most to TE) Week 16: Texans (3rd most to TE) Week 17: Jets (13th most to TE)
Over the last 5 weeks:
-Broncos have given up the 6th most points -Rams are 12th against the position -Jaguars have given up the 8th most points -Bears have given up the 10th most points -Texans have given up the 7th most points -Jets are 5th best against the position
Over the last 3 weeks:
-Broncos have given up the 2nd most, Saints are at the top. -Rams are middle of the pack at 17th most. -Jaguars 9th most points allowed -Bears 8th most points allowed -Texans 6th most points allowed -Jets 11th against TEs
Take this how you want, but I like to look more at performances over the last few weeks compared to season as it can be skewed. Njoku could have some good games here, but I think it may be fewer than you’re expecting.
Data from https://fftoday.com/stats/fantasystats.php?Season=2023&GameWeek=Last3&PosID=40&Side=Allowed&LeagueID=