| Rank | Team | Adj. Win % | Weekly Rank Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philadelphia | .809 | -- |
| 2 | Baltimore | .747 | +1 |
| 3 | Cleveland | .728 | +2 |
| 4 | Detroit | .711 | -- |
| 5 | Kansas City | .704 | -3 |
| 6 | Jacksonville | .693 | +1 |
| 7 | San Francisco | .683 | +1 |
| 8 | Pittsburgh | .651 | -2 |
| 9 | Miami | .615 | +1 |
| 10 | Dallas | .592 | +1 |
| 11 | Houston | .571 | +3 |
| 12 | Seattle | .562 | -3 |
| 13 | Cincinnati | .553 | -1 |
| 14 | Minnesota | .516 | -1 |
| 15 | Indianapolis | .514 | -- |
| 16 | Buffalo | .498 | +2 |
| 17 | Denver | .492 | +3 |
| 18 | LA Rams | .465 | +5 |
| 19 | Tampa Bay | .438 | -2 |
| 20 | New Orleans | .436 | +2 |
| 21 | Las Vegas | .427 | -- |
| 22 | LA Chargers | .420 | -6 |
| 23 | NY Jets | .418 | -4 |
| 24 | Green Bay | .397 | +3 |
| 25 | Tennessee | .379 | -1 |
| 26 | Atlanta | .374 | -1 |
| 27 | Washington | .342 | -1 |
| 28 | NY Giants | .295 | +3 |
| 29 | Chicago | .275 | -1 |
| 30 | New England | .272 | -- |
| 31 | Arizona | .262 | -2 |
| 32 | Carolina | .180 | -- |
I’m using a simplified/modified Colley Matrix iteration process (https://www.colleyrankings.com/method.html)
To summarize, you take the win percentage of every team and correct it against the win percentage of their opponents. Then you have a new win percentage. And I repeat that process until the correction factor is below .001. Essentially this is what I would expect the win percentages to be if the teams played an average team every week.
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