Week 12 Flex Projections Sunday Update
It feels a little weird posting these after so many games have passed but with no Byes there’s still plenty of decisions to be made. There are two games being affected by weather, PIT vs CIN and BUF vs PHI. As you’ll see in the chart below weather(wind/rain) only affects the receiving numbers and in both these cases, it’s very minor. I only post the website because it does a better job illustrating what the projections mean and it is updated faster, the numbers are the same as the image below. As always I appreciate all comments/criticisms and will gladly answer any questions.
Here is a simplified breakdown of the secondary inputs that go into the projections and how they’re applied to each position.
| Match-up | Weather | Implied Team Totals | Spread/Game Script | Touchdowns | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | Opponent Adj. YPC | None | Yes, TD chance | Yes, carries and receptions in games with large spreads | RZ Designed Carries, RZ Routes run |
| WR | WR Coverage M/U based on Fantasypoints.com | Yes, aDOT and Rec’s based on Rotogrinders Weather | Yes, TD chance | Yes, receptions in games with large spreads | RZ 1st Read Tgts, 1st Read Tgts with 20+ AY |
| TE | Opponent Adj. Fpts vs. Slot/Inline/Wide | None | Yes, TD chance | None | RZ 1st Read Tgts |
this list doesn’t even go deep enough to cover the people i have on my bench to choose from to flex lmao