If we win out, we will be 12-5.
Only seven teams can end 12-5 or better: Miami, KC, Pittsburgh, Baltimore, Cleveland, Indianapolis, Jacksonville. Four of those teams will win their division, meaning it is four teams for three wild card spots. AFC East would not have a contender, so it would come down to tiebreakers between Broncos, Colts, and a AFC North team. Browns and Ravens could both end up higher than 12-5.
Colts need to win out to stay in front of us. If they do, though, Steelers are 12-5, and we own tiebreakers over them (4-2 vs 5-1 in common games). Otherwise, Colts lose at least one and finish 11-6 or worse and we are at least the 7th seed.
If some other North team ended up at 12-5 (or multiple) we would only have to beat one in tie breakers, and we own the head-to-head against the Browns from today. Haven’t worked out all the scenarios with the Ravens because it doesn’t matter.
Win a measly 6 games and we’re there.
When we were 1-5, what would you have said to someone who said “hey if we just win these next 5, we’ll be 6-5.”? I’m going to answer the question for you. You would have said something like “LMAO we aint going 6-5 man cmon.”