For anyone that is interested here is the results from my algorithms with explanations of what they mean below.

Rank	City	Team	PR_T	RP	RD	RTp	WAE	Bounce
1	San Francisco	49ers	2.241	13.29	15.06	39.37	2.74	-2.44
2	Baltimore	Ravens	2.191	11.62	14.45	40.72	3.46	-1.24
3	Dallas	Cowboys	1.513	11.38	11.26	18.54	1.42	-2.32
4	Kansas City	Chiefs	1.512	7.44	8.09	28.37	3.34	0.68
5	Philadelphia	Eagles	1.396	6.88	6.84	18.96	4.70	3.15
6	Jacksonville	Jaguars	1.116	5.52	5.74	15.82	3.48	2.08
7	Cleveland	Browns	0.914	4.06	7.95	8.60	2.36	0.94
8	Detroit	Lions	0.818	3.27	4.97	13.57	2.25	1.06
9	Buffalo	Bills	0.751	5.71	5.69	14.69	-0.45	-2.94
10	Miami	Dolphins	0.686	5.50	2.77	7.13	1.76	0.69
11	Los Angeles	Chargers	0.627	3.81	4.40	19.78	-1.02	-3.47
12	Minnesota	Vikings	0.446	2.15	3.29	12.34	-0.20	-1.65
13	Houston	Texans	0.319	1.62	1.71	7.22	0.40	-0.33
14	Indianapolis	Colts	0.297	-0.16	1.49	12.80	0.25	-0.50
15	Green Bay	Packers	0.236	0.82	1.77	3.74	0.55	0.15
16	Pittsburgh	Steelers	0.153	0.13	-0.68	-2.92	2.40	3.29
17	Cincinnati	Bengals	0.063	0.17	-2.54	9.50	-0.01	-0.20
18	Tampa Bay	Buccaneers	0.055	1.03	1.04	2.88	-1.06	-1.82
19	Denver	Broncos	-0.005	-2.32	-0.04	2.61	0.74	1.17
20	Los Angeles	Rams	-0.125	0.49	-0.65	-8.33	0.11	0.55
21	New Orleans	Saints	-0.456	-1.57	-1.90	-9.86	-1.48	-0.95
22	Seattle	Seahawks	-0.517	-3.30	-3.24	-12.89	0.01	1.56
23	Tennessee	Titans	-0.829	-3.92	-5.33	-15.24	-1.65	-0.09
24	Atlanta	Falcons	-0.938	-4.06	-5.61	-22.44	-1.33	0.74
25	Chicago	Bears	-0.996	-6.12	-6.32	-11.03	-2.79	-1.30
26	New York	Jets	-1.104	-5.01	-7.97	-23.49	-1.30	1.27
27	Las Vegas	Raiders	-1.188	-6.38	-7.43	-21.59	-2.24	0.11
28	Washington	Commanders	-1.662	-11.04	-12.61	-20.79	-2.55	1.07
29	Arizona	Cardinals	-1.794	-8.91	-12.07	-29.20	-4.05	-0.85
30	New England	Patriots	-1.884	-8.59	-12.80	-34.87	-3.50	0.19
31	Carolina	Panthers	-1.904	-9.95	-11.50	-29.70	-4.50	-1.32
32	New York	Giants	-1.917	-11.36	-14.32	-30.20	-2.64	1.68

PR_T is the ranking number here. It is an average of RP, RD, and RT (all using standard deviation in an attempt to give them equal weight), and then add in the WAE.

RP is a mean average of how many points the team scores against the average opponents’ scores. Losing by 3 points to a team that usually wins by 10 nets 7 points to the total (before dividing by games played). Beating a team by 3 points that usually loses by 7 nets -4 to the total (before dividing by games played).

RD is very similar to RP except it is what percentage of the score was by the team. A team that beat another by 30-20 had 60% of the score. This again is compared to the opponent’s opponents average. The teams score is the mean average of that.

RP favors offense a bit where RD favors defense a bit.

RT is one that I started tracking a few year ago. It is like RP and RD, but instead of using points it uses time. The winning team gains the seconds remaining in regulation after the winning score and the losing team gets that time subtracted. It is also compared against the opponent’s opponents average and is presented in standard deviation from the mean form. The value here is divided by 36 to make it more like a percentage of a game as opposed to raw seconds. This has been pretty darn good as a power ranking method.

WAE is “Wins Above/Against Expectation”. This uses the strength of schedule and win% to give a rough estimate on how many wins the team is above or below what an average team would have with the schedule that has been played. An average team with a .500 schedule would expect to be .500. An average team with a .600 schedule would expect to be .400. If you multiply the WAE by how many games have been played, it shows how many games the team won or lost compared to what an average team would be expected to do.

Bounce (formerly “Over”) is something else that I’m monitoring. I created it last year specifically because the of the Vikings season. This column is a measurement of how teams are performing against the stats. I’m still trying to work my head around it. A zero here does not mean the team is playing exactly as the stats I made up suggest. This is not completely worked out.

Regardless, the lower the number in the Bounce column is the more a team is losing more than it probably should. The higher the number, the more the team is winning when it probably should lose. For reference, last year after week 16 (last I ran the numbers that season), the Vikings were 5.070 in this column. The next highest was the Colts at 2.399. The lowest was the 49ers at -2.887.

Below is the rated performance of each team this week using mostly the same method. It doesn’t add the WAE.

Rank	Team	Opponent	PR_T	Points	RP	Point%	RD	Time	RTp
1	Broncos	Browns	4.687	17	21.70	0.71	26.51	2471	78.12
2	Cowboys	Commanders	4.620	35	28.73	0.82	25.44	2307	55.10
3	49ers	Seahawks	4.062	18	17.80	0.70	20.22	2591	68.82
4	Ravens	Chargers	3.580	10	12.10	0.67	18.78	1553	61.18
5	Packers	Lions	3.520	7	11.30	0.57	11.15	2156	79.82
6	Dolphins	Jets	2.984	21	15.60	0.72	14.71	1800	25.06
7	Rams	Cardinals	2.842	23	14.64	0.73	12.89	1859	24.24
8	Eagles	Bills	2.739	3	12.45	0.52	12.86	0	24.85
9	Falcons	Saints	2.506	9	10.60	0.62	13.48	597	14.94
10	Chiefs	Raiders	2.401	14	9.64	0.65	8.73	1455	23.93
11	Jaguars	Texans	2.236	3	6.00	0.53	6.70	680	30.52
12	Steelers	Bengals	1.971	6	3.60	0.62	8.73	483	16.67
13	Colts	Buccaneers	1.869	7	6.20	0.57	6.43	450	8.49
14	Bears	Vikings	1.813	2	4.09	0.55	6.93	10	10.35
15	Bills	Eagles	1.791	-3	3.10	0.48	4.18	0	19.24
16	Titans	Panthers	1.284	7	-4.20	0.63	0.18	1800	21.66
17	Chargers	Ravens	0.959	-10	1.55	0.33	-3.47	-1553	-6.26
18	Texans	Jaguars	0.862	-3	-0.40	0.47	-0.34	-680	-14.20
19	Buccaneers	Colts	0.440	-7	-7.60	0.43	-8.06	-450	2.69
20	Giants	Patriots	0.244	3	-6.70	0.59	-3.97	490	-22.48
21	Vikings	Bears	0.149	-2	-7.09	0.45	-9.97	-10	-11.40
22	Raiders	Chiefs	0.145	-14	-7.90	0.35	-6.74	-1455	-17.54
23	Seahawks	49ers	-0.038	-18	-5.80	0.30	-6.46	-2591	-35.78
24	Bengals	Steelers	-0.388	-6	-8.90	0.38	-15.56	-483	-23.66
25	Lions	Packers	-0.441	-7	-6.20	0.43	-5.87	-2156	-60.29
26	Saints	Falcons	-0.706	-9	-11.80	0.38	-14.99	-597	-35.32
27	Jets	Dolphins	-0.937	-21	-14.30	0.28	-16.17	-1800	-38.44
28	Patriots	Giants	-1.439	-3	-15.36	0.41	-24.49	-490	-43.81
29	Commanders	Cowboys	-1.461	-35	-22.30	0.18	-18.51	-2307	-39.13
30	Panthers	Titans	-1.470	-7	-11.60	0.37	-18.98	-1800	-71.57
31	Browns	Broncos	-2.390	-17	-22.10	0.29	-25.99	-2471	-76.32
32	Cardinals	Rams	-2.396	-23	-25.50	0.27	-25.56	-1859	-67.25