If you want a more accurate prediction for your chances of making playoffs, check out theffhub.com. It gives you playoff odds, power rankings, schedule strength, and even a playoff machine where you can see what happens given every matchup to come.
I am not affiliated with this site, but it is a really great resource and an improvement over the native tools in ESPN.
I’m 2nd in my league at 9-3 and the first place team is at 12-0. My record vs all would be 83-49. His would be 122-10… he would be undefeated with every schedule in the league except one where it would be 11-1. God help us all.