1: CHIEFS beat Packers

Obviously.

2: BENGALS beat Jaguars

3: COMMANDERS beat Dolphins

We’d like for both the Jaguars and Dolphins to lose at some point, to stay ahead of them for seeding purposes. We do have head to head victories over both, but in a multi way tie that includes the Ravens, it would go to conference record first. For that very reason, a Jaguars loss to an AFC team carries slightly more weight than a Dolphins loss to an NFC team. Additionally, the Jaguars have the easier schedule than the Dolphins after this week, so it’s slightly more important for them to get their loss here.

4: RAMS beat Browns

5: CARDINALS beat Steelers

The Browns and Steelers aren’t incredibly threatening, but they are only a game behind the Chiefs in the conference standings, so a loss for both would be nice. A Cardinals win would be the slightly less nice outcome of the two, because it comes with the drawback of helping the Patriots in the Caleb Williams sweepstakes. Speaking of which …

6: PATRIOTS beat Chargers

Root against a divisional rival and hurt the Patriots’ draft positioning? Yes please!

7: BUCCANEERS beat Panthers

8: FALCONS beat Jets

9: COLTS beat Titans

Again, we need all the teams at the bottom of the standings to lose in order to keep Caleb Williams away from the Patriots. The Panthers (or rather, the Bears) have the top spot as of right now. Of the other two games, a Jets loss is slightly more likely to be helpful, as they actually play the Patriots later in the year.

10: TEXANS beat Broncos

Both teams are 6-5, but a Texans win puts them closer to knocking the Jaguars out of the division lead, and they’re more dangerous than either team in this game. Even if the Jaguars do win the division, the Texans are more likely than the Broncos to knock out a contender in the wild card round.

11: SEAHAWKS beat Cowboys

We have the Cowboys’ 5th round pick.

12: SAINTS beat Lions

A Lions loss hurts the Ravens’ strength of victory (although it does carry the drawback of possibly helping to put their 1st round pick ahead of ours if we’re eliminated in the same round of the playoffs as they are).

13: 49ERS beat Eagles

Whereas a Lions loss could hurt our draft pick, a 49ers win helps our draft pick for the same reason.

BYES: Ravens, Bills, Bears, Raiders, Vikings, Giants