• mindbleach@sh.itjust.works
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          7 months ago

          Even if the model stops here - did you imagine it’d get this far?

          Humans do all their civilization brouhaha on three pounds of wet meat powered by corn flakes. Most of which evolved for marginal improvements on “grab branch and pull” or “do not pet tiger.” It’s a cosmic accident that’s given us language and music and dubstep. And this stupid trick with a pile of video cards can fake a lot of that, to the point we’re worried the average human will be able to spot the fakes.

          Point being: the miraculous birth of a computer intellect may well arise from “the fact blender.” Or “fancy Wikipedia.” Or “twenty questions, hard mode.” Or any other stupid gimmick that some grad students can cobble together after a 4 AM what-if. Calling this hot mess “spicy autocorrect” is accurate, and in some sense damning, but we had no fucking idea where it’d stop. Emergent properties are chaos. Approximate knowledge of conditions cannot predict approximate outcomes.

          LLMs are still liable to figure out math. That’s a process which gigabytes of linear algebra can obviously do, which would massively improve its ability to guess the next letter in a word problem. It won’t be the kind of AI you can explain calculus to, and then expect it to remember, next time - but getting any portion of the way there is deeply spooky.

  • Lugh@futurology.todayOPM
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    7 months ago

    Added to this finding, there’s a perhaps greater reason to think LLMs will never deliver AGI. They lack independent reasoning. Some supporters of LLMs said reasoning might arrive via “emergent behavior”. It hasn’t.

    People are looking to get to AGI in other ways. A startup called Symbolica says a whole new approach to AI called Category Theory might be what leads to AGI. Another is “objective-driven AI”, which is built to fulfill specific goals set by humans in 3D space. By the time they are 4 years old, a child has processed 50 times more training data than the largest LLM by existing and learning in the 3D world.