Mine:
Red Group:
(1) Djokovic 7-6(5) 4-6 6-3 (4) Sinner
(4) Sinner 7-5 7-5 (6) Tsitsipas
(8) Rune 6-3 1-6 7-5 (4) Sinner
(1) Djokovic 6-4 6-3 (6) Tsitsipas
(8) Rune 7-5 5-7 6-4 (6) Tsitsipas
(1) Djokovic 7-5 7-6(8) (8) Rune
Djokovic and Rune advance
Green Group:
(2) Alcaraz 7-5 6-2 (7) Zverev
(3) Medvedev 6-4 6-4 (5) Rublev
(5) Rublev 6-2 3-6 7-5 (7) Zverev
(3) Medvedev 7-6(5) 7-5 (7) Zverev
(5) Rublev 6-3 4-6 6-3 (2) Alcaraz
(3) Medvedev 7-5 6-4 (2) Alcaraz
Medvedev and Rublev advance
Explanation for some picks:
- Sinner seems to be a popular pick to even win it all because of his recent form, but I think he actually got a very tough group in terms of matchups and Rune will just barely edge him out to snatch the semifinal spot
- Rublev and Alcaraz hasn’t played before but Alcaraz’s issues dealing with pace/ballstriking on fast indoor courts this season makes me think there’s heavy upset potential here
- I made a lot of 7-5 or 7-6 sets because the courts are so fast and it’s hard to break a lot