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Rank Team Adj. Win %
1 Kansas City .763
2 Philadelphia .760
3 Baltimore .730
4 Jacksonville .707
5 Cleveland .690
6 Pittsburgh .690
7 Detroit .673
8 San Francisco .660
9 Miami .594
10 Houston .573
11 Dallas .564
12 Seattle .547
13 NY Jets .537
14 Atlanta .536
15 Buffalo .534
16 Indianapolis .533
17 Tampa Bay .513
18 Cincinnati .510
19 LA Rams .491
20 Minnesota .448
21 Tennessee .405
22 LA Chargers .394
23 New Orleans .393
24 Washington .388
25 Las Vegas .379
26 New England .362
27 NY Giants .334
28 Green Bay .323
29 Denver .309
30 Chicago .292
31 Arizona .221
32 Carolina .149

I’m using the Colley Matrix iteration process (https://www.colleyrankings.com/method.html)

To summarize, you take the win percentage of every team and correct it against the win percentage of their opponents. Then you have a new win percentage. And I repeat that process until the correction factor is below 0.01%. Essential this is what I would expect the win percentages to be if the teams played an average team every week.