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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: July 10th, 2023

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  • I’m pretty well acquainted with the situation. I’d recommend this research on the subject that are mainly applicable to building transit, but I expect the same observations are generally true in other megaprojects: https://transitcosts.com/

    From the executive summary:

    In our New York case, we show examples of redundancy in blue-collar labor, as did others (Rosenthal 2017; Munfah and Nicholas 2020); we also found overstaffing of white-collar labor in New York and Boston (by 40-60% in Boston), due to general inefficiency as well as interagency conflict, while little of the difference (at most a quarter) comes from differences in pay.

    Projects in the anglosphere are overstaffed for both design and construction, and there’s little evidence to show that there are better outcomes. Costs in Sweden are 20% those of the US, and yet you’d be hard-pressed to claim that Swedish workers are undercompensated or produce shoddy work.

    As for “to spec”, the SF Central Subway, which opened 5 years after it was planned to and cost 3x as much as initially forecast, had delays because the contractor attempted to get away with using sub-standard steel. In order to save time and open sooner, the city kept some of the sub-standard rails in use in lower-traffic areas.











  • I’ll ask an honest question here: What do you think Trump would be doing materially differently from Biden in the handling of this conflict? Israel has essentially been given carte blanche, weapons sales are continuing without congressional approval, and humanitarian aid to Gaza is severely restricted.

    What could Trump be doing that’s worse than this? Sending in US troops to massacre Palestinians is about the only place you can go, and that doesn’t seem like him.