I agree. I was knocked out in Week 7 this year… One of the things I was doing to help make better decisions. In my dataspace in SportWise, I have the full schedule. As a result, when I would pick a team for the week, I would filter on that team, unfilter on the week, and look forward across all weeks to see who they played and if there was a better match-up I wanted to wait for.
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Cake day: October 28th, 2023
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The one weakness of historical performance models, it does not take into account current events. That is where the odds based models work better because they take into account the collective knowledge of the betting community.
The numbers, which would take into account Burrow’s previous performances, state that they are a pretty even match-up. I always favour the home and less injured teams. I like the choice!
1·10 months agoMy recommended picks this week based on the performance data.
MIA
DET
HOUHere’s the data.
I don’t have the Jags on my list. The differential is telling me the Titans have the slight advantage.
I think both are good bets. The big difference in the performance ranking; Chicago has had 18 turnovers.
A little late to the party this week. The picks this week seem pretty obvious.
Home Teams
Cowboys
Seahawks
Ravens
Away Teams
Niners
The one risky pick would be Jets.
Based on the historical performance, the Bengals have the slight edge. That would include when Joe Burrows was playing and he is obviously out now. Therefore I don’t think the Jags would be a bad bet but I would feel most comfortable with the Steelers. They have a dramatic defensive edge over the Cards.