The patriots this year have only gotten blown out when they played against elite defenses that can make them turn the ball over. Every other game has been close. I’m not saying the Pats will win, but the dolphins being favored by 9 points is kind of crazy, especially with their abysmal defense. In fact, the patriots were the only defense this year that made the dolphins offense look like it was from planet earth. I think this will be more of a 20-27 or 16-23 type game, definitely not a blowout.
So the Pats have scored at most 29. And average 14.4 per game.
The dolphins have scored at most 70. Average of 34.3. And even if you take the Denver game out. It’s stil 28.3 avg per game.
And you think a 9 point line is unrealistic?
I think you don’t know how Vegas lines work. At all.