I’m not worried about the No. 1 seed for several reasons. If they can somehow grab it, great. But really, the Dolphins and their fans should just worry about winning the division as early as possible. At 7-3 with a two-game lead over the Bills, here are the next four weeks scheduled for both teams:
Miami
@ Jets
@ Commanders
vs. Titans
vs. Jets
Buffalo
@ Eagles
BYE
@ Chiefs
vs. Cowboys
It is possible that, over this stretch, the Dolphins could clinch the division and lock in at least one home playoff game before they play their last three games (vs. Cowboys, @ Ravens, vs. Bills).
If the No. 1 seed is in play, awesome. Go for it. It would be amazing to have a guaranteed home playoff game as a reward for any playoff win. But if it comes down to that final week and the Dolphins have already won the division with no shot at the No. 1 seed… then rest up that final week and take that as a bye week. Let Buffalo hang a banner that says they swept Miami the year they won the division. I would love that de facto bye going into a playoff push where the Dolphins have a legit chance to win it all. We’ve seen how amazing the team looks when everyone is healthy and rested. It would be amazing to clinch so early in a year where lots of people picked the Fins to finish fourth.
If the Jets have nothing to lose, they’re not playing or acting like it. I disagree with this analysis.