Nishikori in his prime (whatever year you think that is; for me its 2014 or 2016) is going to play a best of 3 setter on hard court against the top 10 right now. How many does he beat?
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Fritz
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Hurkacz
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Rune
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Zverev
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Tsitsipas
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Rublev
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Sinner
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Medvedev
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Alcaraz
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Djokovic
Decided to simulate these using the UTS ‘Hypothetical Matchup’ feature that allows for these exact conditions as variables
Using ‘Peak ELO Rating’ for Prime Nishikori provides the date August 15th 2016 as the result
Fritz - 71.2% chance of Nishikori win
Hurkacz - 69.0% (nice) chance of Nishikori win
Rune - 73.4% chance of Nishikori win
Zverev - 62.8% chance of Nishikori win
Tsitsipas - 68.6% chance of Nishikori win
Rublev - 65.3% chance of Nishikori win
Sinner - 47.4% chance of Nishikori win
Medvedev - 49.9% chance of Nishikori win
Alcaraz - 50.7% chance of Nishikori win
Djokovic - 26.9% chance of Nishikori win