I feel like this is at the crux of the Fields vs. draft QB debate.
If you don’t draft a QB at #1, you can take higher-probability successes (MHJ) or trade down into more picks, which increases the chances you get some viable starters and possibly even elite players.
If you do draft a QB, you’re really hoping that guy works out. And by “works out” I mean is an elite contributor at the NFL level. He has to be, because you’re trying to replace a fairly average NFL starter, so the marginal benefit is diminished if the guy you draft is just pretty good.
I feel like this is at the crux of the Fields vs. draft QB debate.
If you don’t draft a QB at #1, you can take higher-probability successes (MHJ) or trade down into more picks, which increases the chances you get some viable starters and possibly even elite players.
If you do draft a QB, you’re really hoping that guy works out. And by “works out” I mean is an elite contributor at the NFL level. He has to be, because you’re trying to replace a fairly average NFL starter, so the marginal benefit is diminished if the guy you draft is just pretty good.