In order for Atlanta to have their answer at the quarterback position I would definitely say the Atlanta Falcons need to either trade up in this Draft to get their guy for the future or the Falcons make a trade in free agency.
Seeing the free agent market the options being:
- Kirk Cousins
- Ryan Tannehill
- Marcus Mariota again
- Jacoby Brissett
- Jameis Winston
- Baker Mayfield
- Sam Darnold
- Gardner Minshew
- Tyler Huntley
- Tyrod Taylor
- Joshua Dobbs
However the QBs the Falcons can trade for:
- Derek Carr (division rival/Saints)
- Kyler Murray (Cardinals)
- Justin Fields (Bears/hometown Georgia boy)
But if the Falcons go in neither of those directions and want a rookie QB, then who are the Falcons trying to draft? Caleb Williams or Drake Maye will most likely be gone by the time the Falcons pick. So Jayden Daniels may just be the answer.
The most recent trade up in the draft after the top 2 QBs were selected was last draft, when Houston traded the 12th pick, the 33rd pick, a future 1st, and a future 3rd for the 3rd pick and a 4th round pick, all for DE Will Anderson. You could argue that the 33rd pick (a high 2nd rounder) + swapping a 3rd rounder for a 4th rounder is equal value to a late 1st round pick, so the Texans essentially gave up 2 additional 1st round picks to move up.
Also in recent history the Niners vaulted from 12 to 3 for 2 additional 1st round picks and a 3rd rounder, taking QB3 Trey Lance after Trevor Lawrence and Zach Wilson came off the board.
So if we’re picking outside the top 10, and a clear QB3 emerges who’ll be a top 5 pick, we’d have to find a trade partner in the 3-5 range, and we’d have to give up at least 2 future 1st round picks (or equal value) to move up that high. That’s a big ask. Granted, it’s conjecture that a QB3 (Daniels, Penix, Nix, etc.) will rise that high and be drafted that early, but I still think it’s worth gaming out the possibility. This time last year I never would’ve thought Anthony Richardson would be the 4th overall pick.
All that and for what? Just to increase the odds of finding our Franchise QB from 45% to 60%?
We are more likely to find the QB if we simply draft 2 QBs in the 1st and 2nd round, set them up for a position battle, then plan to trade away the worse QB.