Looking at the teams that committed to a full rebuild recently, I can’t help but to notice that they now have a roster stacked with promising young pieces (25 yo or less):
- Cavs: Mobley, Garland, Allen, Okoro
- Magic: Banchero, Fultz, Wagner, Suggs, Black, Carter Jr
- Spurs: Wemby, Johnson, Vassel, Jones, Sochan
- OKC: SGA, Holmgrem, Wallace, Giddey
- Rockets: Jabari Smith, Amen Thompson, Jalen Green, Sengun
Conversely, the Raptors have no draft capital and lots of either old or good-but-expiring pieces. Do you really think the future of this franchise is looking good?
Here are some interesting recent facts about our picks (or lack thereof):
- Since 2017, we only had two top-15 1st round picks (Dick and Barnes who both so far seem to have very good ceilings).
- Our most valuable players right now (OG and Pascal) are from 2015-2017 which was a period when we had four 1st-round picks (more good picks = more chances of getting good players)!
- Our championship run was only possible because we had players that we drafted (JV, Poetl, DeRozan, Wright) to trade for Gasol, Dany and Kawhi.
so… please explain why is it such a bad idea to switch gears and focus on staking draft capital and finding young talent to match Dick and Barnes’ timeline?
Are we just choosing to ignore the other cases where rebuilding teams are caught in perpetual rebuilds? The current Rockets are currently on that trajectory. Others include:
And I can go on. A common thread of teams who rebuild well is the amount of draft capital they have. OKC and current Magic are accruing talent not just because of their draft picks, but because of picks they received from trading their stars (PG, Vucevic). In both of those cases, there is an element of luck involved (i.e. the Bulls didn’t trade those picks expecting them to be good). Like Boston would not have been able to build out their roster if it weren’t for that god awful Nets trade in the early 2010s
All great examples. You also missed the best example of this in the Pistons. They’ve topped out at 23 wins for the past 4 years, and have won over 40 games just twice since 2008 (44 and 41 wins in those 2 years). So even last year’s disappointment of ours would’ve been Detroits 2nd best season in 15 years
Sometimes rebuilding just doesn’t work