• non_target_ehB
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    1 year ago

    It wasn’t the points, it wasn’t the chances of “making the field goal” it was the probability of winning the game. Let’s say that we kick the field goal, it has a certain chance of being good but then you also give the chargers the ball back with what like a minute and something left on the clock right? Let’s just use some percentages for examples sake.
    Let’s say you have a 75% chance of making the 44 yard field goal and then the chargers only have a 35% chance to score a field goal or potentially better (we have a 65% chance of winning the game if we make the field goal) AGAIN THESE ARE ROUND NUMBERS.
    0.75 x 0.65 = 0.4875 or 48.75% chance of winning if we kicked that field goal.
    Now let’s say that you have a 60% chance of making the 4th down, and now you have a 90% chance of making the field goal that is a chip shot. And the game is over, chargers don’t even get the ball back.
    0.60 x 0.90 = 0.54% 54% chance of winning if we get the first down and kick a field goal as time expires. It’s not rocket science, it was the right call.
    Also a lot of it is attitude. We had the balls to say, fuck you we are playing to WIN this game, not playing not to lose it. The team feeds off of that.