I think the ceiling for the Pacers is in the 6 seed to play-in range while their floor is 36 wins. I don’t see them doing worse than last year unless the injury bug gets us this year. Ben Mathurin will ball out as a starter this year, Obi Toppin and Bruce Brown were great acquisitions. Myles Turner and Tyrese Haliburton make the starting 5 legit.
As for our top rookie Jarace Walker, he’ll likely do what Mathurin did last year and come off the bench so he can have less pressure in his development in his rookie season. I could see him making progress and starting a number of games and looking good. If he is who he was drafted to be, team defense will improve
Floor: 2nd rd
Ceiling: 2nd rd
Absolute floor: Play in exit.
Absolute Ceiling: Championship.
More realistically, first round exit and ECF exit
Floor: injuries happen and they manage to be the team in the west good enough to make the playoffs but doesn’t. This would be shocking, but the west is stacked
Ceiling : dominant championship run, 65 win regukar season