Every week, I check out the ESPN Matchup Predictor. Every week, it has Eagles predicted to lose. Every week, we win. WTF?
I got it when it was KC, but Dallas and now Buffalo both have us not favored. What model has 6-5 Buffalo more likely to beat us??
Eagles analytics aren’t amazing this year for a variety of reasons but I wouldn’t look to much into it. NFL is the worst sport for analytics because of the insanely small sample size each year. Like at this point 1 game is 10% of the total data on that team. 2-3 blowout wins changes the numbers drastically.
Oddsmakers are the best ones to follow if you want true predictions and they have eagles as 3.5 point favorites and the moneyline odds put us a little under 65% chance to win.