Eagles analytics aren’t amazing this year for a variety of reasons but I wouldn’t look to much into it. NFL is the worst sport for analytics because of the insanely small sample size each year. Like at this point 1 game is 10% of the total data on that team. 2-3 blowout wins changes the numbers drastically.

Oddsmakers are the best ones to follow if you want true predictions and they have eagles as 3.5 point favorites and the moneyline odds put us a little under 65% chance to win.

Wait the bills are favored? Isn’t it a home game?

No chance in hell the bills beat the eagles this Sunday. ESPN and most of their analysts are bullshit. In this case, Billshit.

They hate us cause they ain’t us.

Honestly their Achilles heel most of the season has been turnovers and our Achilles heel most of the season has been not creating turnovers. We’re both good teams otherwise. I can definitely understand why some people would think we wouldn’t be favored to win a game like that. It’s a lot easier to play to prevent turnovers than it is to play to create them.

I would rather be underrated than overrated

Because of Brian “Glenn Rivers” Johnson. And they have a point.

Also don’t like the spread. I’m going to this game.

Espn hates the eagles. Have done for at least a decade.

So that gamblers who know better win more money

I think they are obviously overweighting point differential

If it makes you feel any better, the Eagles were predicted to beat the Jets… so maybe it’s a good thing?

All of the wins are close. They haven’t stomped anyone

It’s all mathematical. The eagles haven’t exactly put up eye popping stats. I expect them to win this weekend, but I don’t expect it to be a convincing victory.

The models care about a lot of stats. The only stat the Eagles care about is wins.