Carolina (1), Arizona (2), New England (2), Chicago (3), New York (3), Tennessee (3) are all currently picking before us. Panthers almost have no shot of losing that 1st pick. Kyler might sneak a few wins in for Arizona. Bill is fighting for his job with a QB that is having an identity crisis so they might stay put especially with their schedule. We gave the Giants 66% of their wins and they are a god awful football team. Bears and Titans will get another couple wins I’m sure

Atlanta and Tampa Bay with a lower SOS have 4 wins but only 6 losses compared to our 8. If they lose out, they pick ahead of us. That division is up for grabs with the Saints though so I don’t see it happening

Realistically we’re picking 5th if we lose out. We could absolutely be picking 1st if things played out perfectly but that’ll never happen unfortunately