![[The Athletic] How Premier League teams' expected goals have changed](https://alien.top/pictrs/image/9fd6d991-aa7e-4169-837b-7ca83f928266.webp){kind=link}
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Chelsea and Everton the “most improved” while both having a generally awful start to the season is a fun indication of how useful xG is.
I think this should be viewed at the end of the season.
Because every time I’ve watched either Everton or Chelsea they’ve looked much better than they did last season, and typically performances come before results.
But if you were to ask me the two most improved clubs in terms of performance this season I would say Chelsea and Everton, closely followed by us.
Chelsea finished 12th last season and are 10th now
Everton finished 17th last season and are 14th now without the deducted points
The teams have both improved
I’ve always been so apprehensive at how quickly the public adopted it as the end-all-be-all stat. It’s flawed and subjective (the fact different sites have different models). It’s similar to how basketball fans use the TS% to settle debates nowadays.
Chelsea and Everton the “most improved” while both having a generally awful start to the season is a fun indication of how useful xG is.
Except Everton have been pretty good and are easily the most underrated team in the leauge. I’d argue they were pretty unlucky and were shit aginst Luton which apparently is the only relevant game of the season for judging them on. If anything, their quality on the pitch compared with their xG is a lot more similar than when compared to how many points they’ve gained.
xG is worthless for you because you couldn’t finish of a virgin who’d been edging for 8 hours.
>Active in /r/Genshin_Impact
>Insults others serial prowess
Excuse me while I go die laughing
I dont know if many would have predicted Brentford having much higher xg after losing Toney to the ban. Pretty impressive.
Wolves heading straight to the moon 🚀🚀🚀
We are way more controlled this year for sure. Having some injuries/ walking wounded hasn’t helped us.
Fair play to Everton, knew they would perform better in Dyches first full season. Just a shame about the points deduction but they will sill stay up imo.
Still very dubious towards if Gary can keep us up. There’s been subtle improvements, but it’ll be very close
You have sheffield, burnley and luton doing you favors
Sheffield have beaten us and we limped out of luton
All of your worries will be gone by Monday night.
Incredible consistency from Luton, Burnley and Sheffield
I got a feeling we just going to have plenty of draws this season.
United haven’t moved in either axis.
Consistency 👍
Everton and Chelsea with the best development, Manchester United with the worst
Interesting to note we’re producing less xG in attack and conceding less xG in defence, despite the general sense that Ange is less pragmatic and more daring than Conte. The eye test, and my own observation, seem to directly disagree with the underlying stats.
You’re reading it wrong. The graphic is showing increases in both
Spurs are exceeding their xG by quite a bit. But you’re also reading this wrong.
How am I reading it wrong? which direction is the line moving?
Arsenal really became defend and corners FC lol
Severely low xG conceded doesn’t mean “defend” more of the game, on the contrary it means you have a better control of the game. You are essentially allowing fewer opportunities for the opposition to have a glimpse of your side of the pitch. Teams that defend more, often concede a big xG, and if they have good defenders then their xG per shot would be lower. But yeah, pure low xG is all about controlling the game and the ball.
It’s a joke mate, it’s obvious we don’t park the bus 😅
Flair up cunt
Lool I’m not seeing the option in this sub
Can set it by messaging the mod bot
More balls but less penetration
That some people cant read such a simple graph scares me. It even shows above the graph which part of the club tadpoles that is last season and which part is this one
Problem solving and critical thinking aren’t as common as they should be
aren’t x and y-axis misnamed?
Source: this article
Can’t read it because paywall but do they say why they excluded penalties? I understand it for players but surely for teams conceding/earning a penalty would be relevant to the overall point of this graphic.
So up and to the left is ideal?
No up and to the right is best, the x axis is xG conceded per game, and it’s descending