We are averaging a full score less than the league average and 1 single game above the league average and 2 at the league average. We have a total of 2 games all season where an opponent scored more than their season average against us. 2. Total. Games. And the numbers would be increasingly in our favor if I did the legwork to remove out the score of our game but I’m not gonna do that.
League avg PPG: 22.7
#Scores by week:
1: 7 (avg 16.6)
2: 23 (avg 19.5)
3: 12 (avg 13.5)
4: 16 (avg 17.5)
5: 10 (avg 31.5)
6: 19 (avg 22.7)
7: 22 (avg 23)
8: 31 (avg 20.2)
9: bye (avg before the bye: 17.5ppg)
10: 3 (avg 23)
11: 14 (avg 19.2)
12: 13 (avg 20.8)
#League best PPG per year
2023: 15.5 SF
2022: 17.2 SF
2021: 18.3 BUF
2020: 18.5 BAL
2019: 14.4 NE
2018: 17.6 CHI
2017: 17.0 LAC
2016: 16.4 NE
A “terrible” Wilks had us at 17.5 PPG Which is good enough to be a top 2 defense by PPG in every single previous season listed.
Math doesn’t lie.
No, the average of points scored against you is not how you win games. Football is a little more complicated than that…