I was 99% loss and then won last year on Davante Adams’s huge last second touchdown. The projections are just a function of projected points divided by remaining time, so when they expect 0.2 points or whatever in the final minute of the final game of the week, and suddenly a guy scores 13 on a single play, that can swing the percentages dramatically.

I broke above the 90 percent mark early yesterday evening and will now almost certainly lose, since my opponent had Denver D, Jalen Hurts, and Isiah Pacheco all go sicko mode at the end of the 3 PM window, and then Justin Herbert and Austin Ekeler took a shit for me on SNF.