Curious to hear thoughts but this is where I am at with Dolphins win shares.

For those not familiar with win shares its pretty self explanatory. You assign a likelihood of victory to each game from 0-1 and then add it up to arrive at a decent record projection.

To determine win probability I am going to first determine the projected spread on each game using FPI and assign a value of 3 points for homefield advantage and then use a spread to win % converter to determine win shares.

Current Record: 8-3

Remaining schedule:

@ Washington (.81)

vs Tennessee (.95)

vs New Jersey (.96)

vs Dallas (.51)

@ Baltimore (.35)

vs Buffalo (.55)

This adds up to an expected record of 12.13-4.87

I think 12-13 wins is the general fan expectation right now and that is what we should expect. What an exciting time to be a Dolphins fan.

Fins up!