After today’s heartbreaker to the Texans, the standings actually don’t look gravely bad. I think if the Broncos win next week we’ve still got a real good shot
After today’s heartbreaker to the Texans, the standings actually don’t look gravely bad. I think if the Broncos win next week we’ve still got a real good shot
Tiebreakers for the wild card start:
Remaining games of relevant teams:
If we assume that the team with the better record wins the rest of the games (e.g. we have a 4-1 finish), leaving aside head-to-heads between these 5 teams, you have:
Only 3 of those teams get spots.
If we say IND>PIT, IND>HOU, HOU>CLE, we make it:
If IND>PIT, HOU>IND, HOU>CLE, we make it
If PIT>IND, HOU>IND, HOU>CLE, the 3-way tiebreaker comes down to margin of victory but we’re way behind on that (-39 vs +4 and +13)
If PIT>IND, IND>HOU, HOU>CLE, we’re eliminated:
If IND>PIT, IND>HOU, CLE>HOU, we’re eliminated
If PIT>IND, IND>HOU, CLE>HOU, we’re eliminated
If IND>PIT, HOU>IND, CLE>HOU, we’re eliminated
IF PIT>IND, HOU>IND, CLE>HOU,
TL:DR: If the team with the better record wins remaining games aside from head-to-heads between relevant teams, there are only 2 of the 8 possible combinations of outcomes in the 3 reaming head-to-heads between relevant teams that realistically get us a playoff spot. (3 out of 8 are technically possible if we pull off our own 50 point blowout).