He obviously lost it last year due to voter’s fatigue and narrative (e.g. if he wins 3 in a row, he’ll be a GOAT, so he can’t win that, it’s time to give it to Embiid, etc.)
So what is the minimum criteria to bypass the narrative and voter’s fatigue do you guys think he needs to meet in order to win another MVP this year (I know he doesn’t care about personal accolades, but as a fan, I still want to see him win it)? For example, 1st seed? Triple double stats? Highest win share? Highest BPM?
Feel free to comment your thoughts.
I kinda think the most likely outcome is he wins MVP pretty easily to be honest.
It depends on what the other people do obviously, like if the Mavericks are actually good and Luka averages 34/9/9 on 64% true shooting he is probably going to win MVP. But personally I think the Nuggets are gonna win like 63,64 games, Jokic will average like 25.5/12/9 on 70%ish true shooting, and no other team will crack like 57 wins.
I just trust him the most to be consistent for the entire year. Steph in the last few seasons has had periods of 2016 prime Steph, and then will have a couple months where he is still amazing but only shoots like 39% from 3 instead of the normal 43%.
Luka as well, tends to not hold up his A game the entire year. He could this year, because if you look at his age I would expect him to get better still but I am more confident Jokic will be this good for the entire year. And I think Embiid will have a hard time winning MVP because of narrative for similar reasons Jokic did last years, and I don’t think the Sixers will be a top seed even if Embiid is incredible, and also Jokic is just better.
That leaves Giannis where it seems like there will be an adjustment period with the new team, coach, and system, and hasn’t started in tip top form.
IDK if I would take Jokic over the field, but I think he is the most likely person to win MVP, and the only person I could see winning it nearly unanimously unless everyone except 1 candidate gets hurt.