Its going to take red states much longer to get on board with EVs than blue states and on top of that, EV technology isn’t 100 there (yet) and its better to get a hybrid in the moment I feel like. I think something like this is more realistic:
Ban new gas-only cars: 2036-2039
Ban new normal hybrids: 2039-2042
Ban new plugin hybrids: 2042-2045
I say this as a left-leaning person politically, we are still going to need gas stations until at least 2050.
Perception of EVs would be drastically different if public charging had been dead reliable like the Tesla stations.