Its going to take red states much longer to get on board with EVs than blue states and on top of that, EV technology isn’t 100 there (yet) and its better to get a hybrid in the moment I feel like. I think something like this is more realistic:
Ban new gas-only cars: 2036-2039
Ban new normal hybrids: 2039-2042
Ban new plugin hybrids: 2042-2045
I say this as a left-leaning person politically, we are still going to need gas stations until at least 2050.
Perception of EVs would be drastically different if public charging had been dead reliable like the Tesla stations.
I’m waiting for hydrogen fuel cells.
It doesn’t have to be in all 50 states, the small states matter little economically. If states with large populations ban them auto makers will just stop building ICE vehicles overall because why manufacture something that only a few people will buy and can’t afford the higher cost anyway due to less production.
As things are trending though, a ban may not even be the right thing IMO. EVs are starting to make sense eocnomically, infrastructure is getting there and outside of few crazies eventually people will flock to financially meaningful options.
I don’t think gas stations will disappear…ICE cars will remain in circulation for 70 Years at least.
The ban won’t be heavily enforced, last time the government banned something was prohibition and we saw how that turned out…states tried banning abortion and most of those politicians were voted out and/or women booted the legislation out. The last time the government required us to do something was theCovid vaccine and/or masks and we saw how that turned out…net net, humanity doesn’t care unless it’s about sex and money.
EVs are sadly about neither.
like other commenters said, regardless of current regulations, the market is heading that way, led by China and by Europe. By 2030 there will be affordable EVs (in the 20ks new, not counting dealer fees).
The only thing I think could prolong gas cars in the market is If a future president pulls a 180 and penalizes EV while subsidizing gas cars, but even then you can only resist market forces for so long.
Absolutely not. Plus “cars” are only a small part of vehicles. There are tons of loopholes just like the emission standards.
No way. Amongst many other factors, there is way too much tax dollars tied to the oil and gas industry.