Last-day input, for your D/ST and Kicker streaming decisions!
FYI: I’ll now be taking a little break from generating weekday posts here.
D/ST Consensus Table – Week 10
- Reddit Consensus: The options in Bold were are voted on you, by joining the Pick6x6 game – Thanks for contributing! So far, we have 50 respondents this week. Non-bolded options are my own numbers.
- The second column is my 5-Expert Consensus. My favorite 5 unnamed, independent rankers have demonstrated D/ST accuracy over the years. I aggregate them into 1 output, to provide you a different perspective.
| # | Reddit Consensus (fantasy points) | Mean Rank of this team by 5-Expert Consensus |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cowboys vs. Giants 11.4 | #1 |
| 2 | Ravens vs. Browns 11.3 | #2.5 |
| 3 | Jets @ Raiders 9.2 | #3.5 |
| 4 | Bills vs. Broncos 8.9 | #8.5 |
| 5 | Seahawks vs. Commanders 8.3 | #5 |
| 6 | Steelers vs. Packers 8.0 | #5 |
| 7 | Buccaneers vs. Titans 7.7 | #11 |
| 8 | Packers @ Steelers 7.6 | #16.5 |
| 9 | 49ers @ Jaguars 7.4 | #11.5 |
| 10 | Bengals vs. Texans 7.3 | #15 |
Note that, not listed above, experts are quite higher on Raiders (#6.5) and Saints (#7.5).
Reddit consensus is higher on Bills, Packers, Buccaneers, and Bengals. My model is slightly higher on 49ers (and lower on both Jets and Saints in the case of ESPN scoring settings).
As always-- remember to utilize the website for:
- Updated rankings for your league’s score settings (ESPN vs. Yahoo).
- Histograms of similar historical games, to help you better set your expectation on risk profiles.
- The drivers behind the rankings (“why high / why low?”), to help you understand reasoning.
Kickers – Week 10
And here’s the expert consensus ranking for kickers, among the top experts I track. My own top 8 are always on the website front page– always live according to latest updates.
| Handpicked 5-Expert Consensus | Subvertadown Model |
|---|---|
| Aubrey | Aubrey |
| McPherson | McPherson |
| Koo | Grupe |
| Bass | Gay |
| Dicker | Koo |
| Patterson | Daniel Carlson |
| Tucker | Ryland |
| Boswell | Tucker |
The experts follow up with: Grupe, Myers, and Gay.
Among the top 8, half overlap: Aubrey, McPherson, Koo, and Tucker.
Good luck!
/Subvertadown
I dropped the bills for the niners and no one took them. Isn’t basically everyone of the bills DST injured?
Played the Panthers 2 minutes before kickoff instead of the Browns. Lucky, but happy with the 9 points. Had the Seahawks but was nervous about it being a little too high scoring.
I’m surprised Grupe didn’t make the top 8 kickers
I have Hopkins but wondering if I should drop for Gay
Idk if it’s just me but I don’t see the Reddit consensus for defense. (Blank table)
This makes my choice of the 49ers easy over the Saints. Saints aren’t even listed.
Also, Defenses have scored double digit fantasy points on the Jaguars in 5 of their 8 games. Colts: 11 points, Chiefs: 10 points, Texans: 13 points, Bills: 10 points and Steelers: 10 points.
I trust that the 49ers will be fired up, healthy and rested. Plus with their acquisition of Chase Young the sacks might be non stop.
How come no one likes McManus? He’s #3 in average points, but never on any lists.
How do we feel about the colts D against the pats?
Jets and Koo, let’s get it!
I like Joey Slye, projecting a big game