• 1 Post
  • 56 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
cake
Cake day: October 19th, 2023

help-circle















  • Quick reminder that sample sizes are still very small for threes. For example:

    Porzingis is 33% right now on 21/63. If you take away his 1/8 on Monday, when he may have been tired/off, he’s at 20/55 which is 36%- exactly his career average.

    So he goes from average to below average over one game. And he’s high volume- Pritchard is 30% on 15/49, which means that if he hits his next 4 threes he can go all the way up to 36%. One hot night

    A single made shot increases his percentage by 1.5 points. There is no way you can call a season based on that.

    Its easy to think that 14 games Is a good sample size, and it can be for the eye test or higher volume stats- but its still very small for something like threes where players only take a few per game.