Hmm… I would have to say that this all comes down to QB evaluation…

Teams have shown in the past that if they believe a QB is truly THEIR guy, they will move Heaven and Earth to get him…

It’s quite possible and realistic that Maye or Wiliams may not be of high enough interest to make to the Falcons…

If they like Penix, Nix, or even Jayden Daniels then a potential trade would be a bit more manageable with needing to give up less…

It’s also possible that one or more of those guys will drop right to Atlanta depending on their position…

So, is it possible for this scenario to occur? Absolutely…

However, I think obtaining our next QB will hopefully not require a whole lot of maneuvering on our part…

I’ll take things that ain’t happening for $500

Disagree. I’m skeptical that QBs selected in the Top 5 overall picks are so much significantly more likely to succeed than QBs selected later in the first, second, or third round. Not saying they’re not better, but just saying the odds of a swing and miss are so much higher than the marginal increase in likelihood of a hit that it doesn’t make giving up draft capital worth it.

For the sake of argument I’m going to call each of these players a ‘hit’ if they’re still starting QB at this point. I’m only starting with 2020 and later since we’re now 3 seasons later.

• 2020:
  • Top 5 picks
    • Joe Burrow (1) - Hit
    • Tua Tugavailoa (5) - Hit
  • 1st-2nd round picks
    • Justin Herbert (6) - Hit
    • Jordan Love (23) - Hit
    • Jalen Hurts (53) - Hit
• 2019:
  • Top 5 picks
    • Kyler Murray (1) - Hit
  • 1st-2nd round picks
    • Daniel Jones (6) - Hit
    • Dwayne Haskins (15) - Miss
    • Drew Lock (42) - Miss
• 2018:
  • Top 5 picks
    • Baker Mayfield (1) - Hit
    • Sam Darnold (3) - Miss
  • 1st-2nd round picks
    • Josh Allen (7) - Hit
    • Josh Rosen (10) - Miss
    • Lamar Jackson (32) - Hit
• 2017
  • Top 5 picks
    • Mitchel Trubisky (2) - Miss
  • 1st-2nd round picks
    • Patrick Mahomes (10) - Hit
    • Deshaun Watson (12) - Hit
    • Deshone Kizer (52) - Miss
• 2016
  • Top 5 picks
    • Jared Goff (1) - Hit
    • Carson Wentz (2) - Miss
  • 1st-2nd round picks
    • Paxton Lynch (26) - Miss
    • Christian Hackenberg (51) - Miss

62.5% of QBs selected in the Top 5 between 2016 and 2020 are starting QBs. 57% of QBs selected between picks 6 and 64 between 2016 and 2020 are currently starting QBs.

So when you’re giving up significant draft capital to move up to a Top-5 pick, all you’re doing is increasing your odds of success at drafting a QB from 57% to 62.5%. That’s not a major increase.

In my opinion, the QBs selected outside the top 5 are still significantly likely to succeed and teams should basically never trade up for a QB. A smart team with a Top 5 pick would be wise to trade down in exchange for significant draft capital. In my opinion, it’s better to select 2 QBs between picks 10 and 20 than it is to select 1 Top-5 QB.

It should be a no brainer to trade Pitts for a QB. We should have traded him this season with the Bears for the first overall pick for CJ Stroud but our regime is incompetent.

Yep