On paper, the Mavs seem like they should be an above average defensive team with the personnel we added: Josh Green, Derrick Jones Jr., Grant Williams, Dereck Lively, Dante Exum and Maxi Kleber all seem to be pretty good to great defenders. And considering their reputations, Luka and Kyrie are putting in good effort on that end to the point where they don’t seem to be major liabilities. Maybe some will blame Dwight Powell and Tim Hardaway, but…those two guys rated as our two best defenders last year based on some advanced stats like Defensive RAPTOR. Seth Curry is obviously a defensive hole, but he’s not playing a lot of minutes. Hardy was bad last year but the numbers say he’s doing better this year.

So why are the Mavs still in the bottom tier overall (24th in DRTG)?

Let’s start by breaking down each play type to see where our weaknesses are:

Play Type Defensive Percentile Opponent PPP
Spot Up 72.4 (9th) 0.97
Post Up 65.5 (11th) 0.94
Off Screen 48.3 (16th) 0.98
Pick and Roll (Ball Handler) 48.3 (16th) 0.88
Putbacks 37.9 (19th) 1.14
Pick and Roll (Man) 27.6 (21st) 1.19
Isolation 27.6 (22nd) 0.97
Transition 17.2 (25th) 1.20
Hand Off 6.9 (28th) 1.22

Opponent Shooting stats:

Opponent Shooting (rank from opp’s perspective) Opponent FGAs
Restricted Area 72% (1st) :( 25.7 (17th)
Non-RA Paint 50% (5th) 19.8 (4th)
Midrange 35.7% (26th) 12.9 (4th)
Corner 3 32.9% (24th) 8.2 (15th)
Above the break 3 38.2% (7th) 24.9 (20th)
Opponent eFG% 55.9% (3rd)
Opponent 3P% 36.5% (9th) 33.4 (8th)

Other Defensive Stats:

Stat Count (Rank)
Charges Drawn 1.3 (1st)
Opponent FTA Rate 0.224 (5th)
Opponent TOV% 15.1 (8th)
Contested Shots 46.8 (14th)
Contested Offensive Rebound % 51.7% (17th)
Defensive Rebound Chances (i.e. Mav is closest to the ball) 59.5 (19th)
Blocks 4.3 (23rd)
Steals 6.7 (25th)
Total Rebound Chances (24th)
Defensive Rebounds 32.1 (25th)
Contested 3P Shots 14.7 (26th)
Deflections 11.9 (26th)
Opp Offensive Rebound % 32.0 (*3rd - [27th from our perspective])
Offensive Rebound Chances (i.e. Mav is closest to ball) 35.8 (28th)
Contested Defensive Rebound % 14.1% (30th)
Contested Total Percentage % 23.0% (30th)

We are atrocious at contesting for defensive rebounds and at opponent shooting in the paint and restricted area, and bottom tier in pretty much all of the raw defensive stats (deflections, steals, blocks).

  • The fact that we are still top 10 in opponent turnovers is interesting considering how low deflections and steals are, and how much that is forced errors vs. opponent screwups is unknown from the stats.
  • The defensive rebounding numbers are kind of damning because our chances at getting the rebound (19th) are better than how many we are getting (25th) or how many contested DREBs we win (30th).
  • We are top tier at drawing charges and not giving opponents free throws, but that likely means we are giving them easier looks as well, which is why they dominate us so badly in the paint. They aren’t taking as many attempts in the restricted area maybe due to Lively’s presence, but when they get in there they are scoring.
  • We are at least average at contesting shots in general (14th), but it is not translating to a lower opponent effective field goal percentage.
  • I am also disappointed that we are good at neither offensive rebounding (27th) nor transition defense (25th). Usually this can be an either-or, depending on which the coach wants to prioritize. Crashing the offensive boards hard can cost you in fast break points, but if you aren’t doing good at either then you’ve got a pretty bad situation.

Clearly a lot of room for improvement here, and it may require more personnel changes to shore this up. Our offense is godly, but without average defense it’s going to be harder to win in the playoffs on offense alone.

  • AnnualNature4352B
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    1 year ago

    looks like they need to get at least top 10 in D, the offense is clearly there, so i think it can be a bit lower than most teams but still needs to pick up.

    nba champs

    2020 Lakers: 11th OFF / 3rd DEF
    2019 Raptors: 5th OFF / 5th DEF
    2018 Warriors: 3rd OFF / 11th DEF
    2017 Warriors: 1st OFF / 2nd DEF
    2016 Cavaliers: 3rd OFF / 10th DEF
    2015 Warriors: 2nd OFF / 1st DEF
    2014 Spurs: 7th OFF / 3rd DEF
    2013 Heat: 2nd OFF / 9th DEF
    2012 Heat: 8th OFF / 4th DEF
    2011 Mavericks: 8th OFF / 8th DEF
    2010 Lakers: 11th OFF / 4th DEF
    2009 Lakers: 3rd OFF / 6th DEF
    2008 Celtics: 10th OFF / 1st DEF
    2007 Spurs: 5th OFF / 2nd DEF
    2006 Heat: 7th OFF / 9th DEF
    2005 Spurs: 8th OFF / 1st DEF
    2004 Pistons: 18th OFF / 2nd DEF
    2003 Spurs: 7th OFF / 3rd DEF
    2002 Lakers: 2nd OFF / 7th DEF
    2001 Lakers: 2nd OFF / 21st DEF
    2000 Lakers: 5th OFF / 1st DEF
    1999 Spurs: 11th OFF / 1st DEF
    1998 Bulls: 9th OFF / 3rd DEF
    1997 Bulls: 1st OFF / 4th DEF
    1996 Bulls: 1st OFF / 1st DEF
    1995 Rockets: 7th OFF / 12th DEF