If you look back at draft histories, even the really good teams the Packers have had with a lot of sustained success, if you can get 3 good players out of a draft you’re doing good.

If you think about it, there are 22 starters on a team, so if you draft even 3 new starters every year that’s enough to turn over the lineup about every 7 years. Of course some players don’t last that long, but the best players tend to have the longest careers.

And that doesn’t even consider that every team has a few starters that really aren’t that good or seen as long term answers. Most teams might really just have 15 or so solid, long term starters, with other positions being filled by guys that are more part time starters or deemed replaceable after a few years. It’s what inevitably happens with even most good looking drafts. You might start out with 5-6 players that look like they could be long terms pieces, and then a couple get brought down by injuries or simply don’t develop over the next few years.

And the drafts that really do work out still have some busts. 2013 and 2014 are probably the best drafts in recent packers history, and they started out with Datone Jones (bust) and Ha-Ha Clinton Dix (washed by the end of his rookie contract).