Despite Luka only being 24 (the youngest MVP was Derrick Rose at 22) he has come into the season in the best shape of his life and has so far played at another tier. If he can sustain this level of play, he could be the favorite to win the MVP.
Going into this season, I think the MVP is wide open for Luka. Giannis seems to have plateau, Embiid will have voter fatigue. KD, Curry, LeBron are old. Only Jokic has a real chance of competing for the title.
If Luka can get Dallas to something like 50 wins while having to deal with World B. Flat and the rest of the shit roster, then he could legit win MVP.
Giannis has nothing to do with plateau. He and Jokic are voter fatigue. Very difficult to win more than two MVPs.
LeBron nor KD will play enough games to win. Even if Curry does play enough games, the Warriors are washed, so the win total won’t be there.