I swear, half of the plays in the games I watch have a penalty. It just kills the flow of the game seeing a flag all the time, it feels like games back in the 00’s were not like this.

  • BoukishB
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    10 months ago

    … Can we get that breakdown by type of penalty, though?

    It really paints far more interesting contextual pictures about how referee calls are shaping the league at any given time.

    For example, what’s the trend on RTP and DPI and illegal contact and whatnot? These penalty rates impact the feel of the game far more than, e.g., ineligible receivers down the field.

    • jfgivB
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      10 months ago

      Sure, I’ll do that for you in a few hours

        • jfgivB
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          10 months ago

          Sure, I’ll do that for you in a few hours

          I will say that the share of first downs achieved by penalty is similarly pretty stable

          edit: busy as hell, and hitting the character limit so i’ll split into increases and decreases, but here you go, sorted by highest increase to smallest increase (decreases in child comment)

          penalty_type 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Slope r^2
          Neutral Zone Infraction 0.59% 0.52% 0.85% 0.94% 1.26% 1.08% 0.81% 1.18% 1.51% 1.57% 1.79% 2.29% 3.62% 3.55% 3.90% 3.52% 4.64% 3.41% 3.69% 4.16% 4.70% 5.36% 3.52% 2.71% 3.08% +0.17% 0.7198
          Defensive Holding 3.83% 5.05% 3.71% 3.80% 4.53% 4.13% 5.33% 4.21% 2.84% 4.36% 3.47% 3.26% 3.77% 4.49% 5.47% 6.39% 6.14% 6.00% 6.94% 6.95% 7.08% 5.85% 4.86% 6.93% 6.00% +0.12% 0.4888
          Unnecessary Roughness 4.33% 3.84% 3.00% 3.92% 4.26% 3.14% 2.88% 4.41% 4.24% 5.33% 4.43% 5.26% 5.78% 6.79% 8.70% 6.21% 6.47% 5.68% 5.83% 5.99% 4.52% 5.57% 4.98% 5.11% 5.29% +0.10% 0.3082
          Defensive Pass Interference 8.35% 8.08% 7.73% 7.23% 6.63% 5.01% 5.36% 5.36% 5.03% 5.47% 5.85% 6.27% 6.24% 7.57% 7.68% 6.09% 6.53% 8.12% 7.82% 6.89% 7.80% 10.72% 9.34% 7.39% 8.86% +0.08% 0.1901
          Defensive Too Many Men on Field 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 1.22% 0.87% 1.08% 1.09% 1.35% 1.03% +0.05% 0.5435
          Roughing the Passer 2.06% 2.41% 2.72% 3.04% 3.21% 3.62% 3.12% 3.13% 1.98% 1.99% 2.18% 2.78% 3.04% 2.90% 2.85% 2.93% 2.86% 2.47% 3.10% 3.31% 3.89% 4.25% 4.64% 3.00% 3.51% +0.05% 0.284
          Ineligible Downfield Pass 0.44% 0.68% 0.42% 0.40% 0.48% 0.34% 0.38% 0.20% 0.79% 0.80% 0.89% 0.23% 0.30% 0.16% 0.29% 0.71% 0.48% 0.58% 0.41% 0.46% 1.10% 0.77% 1.34% 2.77% 1.89% +0.04% 0.3182
          Offensive Holding 19.54% 20.10% 18.36% 19.73% 20.05% 17.10% 18.87% 15.56% 16.87% 16.38% 17.75% 19.57% 18.35% 19.63% 18.08% 18.57% 20.21% 20.41% 19.41% 20.69% 20.85% 15.98% 20.42% 19.60% 18.64% +0.04% 0.0353
          Illegal Formation 0.69% 1.08% 1.20% 0.88% 0.39% 1.50% 1.48% 1.51% 1.61% 1.99% 1.85% 2.00% 1.46% 1.25% 1.89% 1.24% 1.67% 1.89% 1.32% 2.09% 1.83% 1.64% 2.02% 1.62% 1.94% +0.04% 0.4155
          Illegal Use of Hands 1.99% 2.77% 1.73% 2.13% 2.16% 1.61% 1.64% 1.55% 0.72% 0.98% 1.22% 1.26% 2.22% 2.49% 2.37% 4.85% 3.31% 2.59% 3.16% 2.06% 2.78% 1.67% 2.33% 1.81% 1.89% +0.03% 0.0643
          Horse Collar Tackle 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.74% 0.88% 0.75% 0.96% 0.50% 0.37% 0.58% 0.61% 0.41% 0.55% 0.73% 0.50% 0.33% 0.32% +0.03% 0.4132
          Offensive Pass Interference 2.46% 2.12% 2.15% 1.43% 2.04% 1.73% 1.88% 2.01% 1.75% 2.23% 2.48% 2.26% 2.07% 2.37% 1.95% 3.02% 2.91% 2.56% 3.37% 2.47% 2.84% 2.16% 2.43% 2.01% 2.16% +0.03% 0.1939
          Illegal Blindside Block 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.17% 0.06% 0.06% 0.28% 0.10% 0.33% 0.28% 0.09% 0.32% 0.20% 0.87% 0.49% 0.34% 0.36% 0.43% +0.02% 0.6034
          Illegal Shift 0.72% 0.36% 0.49% 0.64% 0.48% 0.68% 0.57% 0.66% 0.89% 0.49% 0.66% 0.61% 0.76% 0.56% 0.83% 0.50% 0.93% 0.96% 0.67% 1.28% 1.16% 0.80% 0.78% 0.89% 1.13% +0.02% 0.4566
          Lowering the Head to Initiate Contact 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.49% 0.84% 1.18% 0.34% 0.00% 0.00% +0.02% 0.2114
          Delay of Game 4.67% 4.37% 3.88% 3.53% 3.27% 3.45% 3.55% 3.03% 5.48% 4.71% 4.17% 4.43% 3.83% 3.99% 4.54% 4.14% 4.10% 4.05% 3.66% 3.31% 3.51% 4.14% 5.01% 5.21% 4.48% +0.02% 0.0459
          Offensive Too Many Men on Field 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.06% 0.17% 0.38% 0.28% 0.28% 0.53% 0.22% +0.01% 0.5038
          Disqualification 0.09% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.09% 0.08% 0.00% 0.03% 0.03% 0.03% 0.10% 0.10% 0.24% 0.09% 0.13% 0.12% 0.06% 0.17% 0.18% 0.26% 0.32% 0.59% 0.12% 0.26% 0.32% +0.01% 0.5134
          Player Out of Bounds on Kick 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.20% 0.15% 0.28% 0.19% 0.40% 0.22% +0.01% 0.518
          Taunting 0.03% 0.16% 0.49% 0.79% 0.81% 1.13% 0.27% 0.72% 0.31% 0.31% 0.23% 0.26% 0.40% 0.19% 0.90% 0.71% 0.71% 0.90% 0.50% 0.70% 0.26% 0.35% 1.34% 0.56% 0.49% +0.01% 0.0529
          Illegal Double-Team Block 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.46% 0.38% 0.31% 0.07% 0.05% +0.01% 0.2603
          Low Block 0.09% 0.13% 0.04% 0.03% 0.18% 0.34% 0.19% 0.07% 0.24% 0.35% 0.23% 0.19% 0.15% 0.28% 0.22% 0.18% 0.11% 0.06% 0.15% 0.06% 0.03% 0.00% 0.50% 0.40% 0.27% +0.00% 0.0494
          Unsportsmanlike Conduct 1.56% 1.01% 1.06% 1.16% 0.57% 0.79% 0.81% 1.84% 1.64% 1.57% 1.55% 1.36% 1.67% 1.12% 1.50% 1.83% 1.92% 1.86% 1.99% 1.39% 0.90% 0.84% 0.96% 1.06% 0.92% +0.00% 0.004
          Leverage 0.06% 0.03% 0.18% 0.12% 0.06% 0.11% 0.03% 0.03% 0.07% 0.07% 0.00% 0.06% 0.09% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.35% 0.29% 0.17% 0.03% 0.03% 0.16% 0.07% 0.22% +0.00% 0.0655
          Kick Catch Interference 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.15% 0.17% 0.03% 0.06% 0.00% 0.05% +0.00% 0.2427
          Lowering the Head to Make Forcible Contact 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.27% +0.00% 0.1154
          Roughing the Kicker 0.06% 0.10% 0.18% 0.24% 0.18% 0.14% 0.11% 0.23% 0.21% 0.10% 0.07% 0.10% 0.24% 0.19% 0.10% 0.18% 0.06% 0.35% 0.03% 0.23% 0.23% 0.24% 0.28% 0.16% 0.05% +0.00% 0.0321
          Player Out of Bounds on Punt 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.15% 0.08% 0.16% 0.03% 0.17% 0.07% 0.17% 0.19% 0.40% 0.56% 0.45% 0.24% 0.34% 0.17% 0.26% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% +0.00% 0.0033
          Illegal Peelback 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.03% 0.00% 0.13% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.09% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.05% +0.00% 0.0716
          Delay of Kickoff 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.07% 0.00% +0.00% 0.0848
          Illegal Wedge 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.16% 0.00% 0.06% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% +0.00% 0.0068
          Illegal Kick/Kicking Loose Ball 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% +0.00% 0.097
          Leaping 0.06% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.03% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.06% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.11% 0.09% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.05% +0.00% 0.0004