how is EPA currently calculated
they’ll restructure
edit: by my quick back-of-the-napkin math, they can clear up to $103,327,015 worth of space by restructuring the contracts they have on the books. they can also clear $34.293,164 through cuts.
really hasn’t been that pronounced even in the usual suspects of “game’s gotten soft”:
Season | Defensive Pass Interference | Defensive Holding | Roughing the Passer | Unnecessary Roughness |
---|---|---|---|---|
1999 | 1.09 | 0.50 | 0.27 | 0.56 |
2000 | 1.01 | 0.63 | 0.30 | 0.48 |
2001 | 0.88 | 0.42 | 0.31 | 0.34 |
2002 | 0.93 | 0.49 | 0.39 | 0.50 |
2003 | 0.86 | 0.59 | 0.42 | 0.55 |
2004 | 0.69 | 0.57 | 0.50 | 0.43 |
2005 | 0.78 | 0.77 | 0.45 | 0.42 |
2006 | 0.64 | 0.50 | 0.37 | 0.52 |
2007 | 0.57 | 0.32 | 0.23 | 0.48 |
2008 | 0.61 | 0.49 | 0.22 | 0.60 |
2009 | 0.69 | 0.41 | 0.26 | 0.52 |
2010 | 0.76 | 0.39 | 0.34 | 0.64 |
2011 | 0.80 | 0.48 | 0.39 | 0.74 |
2012 | 0.95 | 0.56 | 0.36 | 0.85 |
2013 | 0.94 | 0.67 | 0.35 | 1.06 |
2014 | 0.80 | 0.84 | 0.39 | 0.82 |
2015 | 0.90 | 0.85 | 0.39 | 0.89 |
2016 | 1.09 | 0.80 | 0.33 | 0.76 |
2017 | 1.04 | 0.93 | 0.41 | 0.78 |
2018 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.45 | 0.80 |
2019 | 1.05 | 0.95 | 0.52 | 0.61 |
2020 | 1.20 | 0.66 | 0.48 | 0.63 |
2021 | 1.10 | 0.57 | 0.55 | 0.59 |
2022 | 0.83 | 0.77 | 0.34 | 0.57 |
2023 | 1.09 | 0.74 | 0.43 | 0.65 |
We’re talking about an extra defensive holding every five games. an extra roughing the passer every eight.
Sure, I’ll do that for you in a few hours
I will say that the share of first downs achieved by penalty is similarly pretty stable
edit: busy as hell, and hitting the character limit so i’ll split into increases and decreases, but here you go, sorted by highest increase to smallest increase (decreases in child comment)
penalty_type | 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | Slope | r^2 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Neutral Zone Infraction | 0.59% | 0.52% | 0.85% | 0.94% | 1.26% | 1.08% | 0.81% | 1.18% | 1.51% | 1.57% | 1.79% | 2.29% | 3.62% | 3.55% | 3.90% | 3.52% | 4.64% | 3.41% | 3.69% | 4.16% | 4.70% | 5.36% | 3.52% | 2.71% | 3.08% | +0.17% | 0.7198 |
Defensive Holding | 3.83% | 5.05% | 3.71% | 3.80% | 4.53% | 4.13% | 5.33% | 4.21% | 2.84% | 4.36% | 3.47% | 3.26% | 3.77% | 4.49% | 5.47% | 6.39% | 6.14% | 6.00% | 6.94% | 6.95% | 7.08% | 5.85% | 4.86% | 6.93% | 6.00% | +0.12% | 0.4888 |
Unnecessary Roughness | 4.33% | 3.84% | 3.00% | 3.92% | 4.26% | 3.14% | 2.88% | 4.41% | 4.24% | 5.33% | 4.43% | 5.26% | 5.78% | 6.79% | 8.70% | 6.21% | 6.47% | 5.68% | 5.83% | 5.99% | 4.52% | 5.57% | 4.98% | 5.11% | 5.29% | +0.10% | 0.3082 |
Defensive Pass Interference | 8.35% | 8.08% | 7.73% | 7.23% | 6.63% | 5.01% | 5.36% | 5.36% | 5.03% | 5.47% | 5.85% | 6.27% | 6.24% | 7.57% | 7.68% | 6.09% | 6.53% | 8.12% | 7.82% | 6.89% | 7.80% | 10.72% | 9.34% | 7.39% | 8.86% | +0.08% | 0.1901 |
Defensive Too Many Men on Field | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.03% | 1.22% | 0.87% | 1.08% | 1.09% | 1.35% | 1.03% | +0.05% | 0.5435 |
Roughing the Passer | 2.06% | 2.41% | 2.72% | 3.04% | 3.21% | 3.62% | 3.12% | 3.13% | 1.98% | 1.99% | 2.18% | 2.78% | 3.04% | 2.90% | 2.85% | 2.93% | 2.86% | 2.47% | 3.10% | 3.31% | 3.89% | 4.25% | 4.64% | 3.00% | 3.51% | +0.05% | 0.284 |
Ineligible Downfield Pass | 0.44% | 0.68% | 0.42% | 0.40% | 0.48% | 0.34% | 0.38% | 0.20% | 0.79% | 0.80% | 0.89% | 0.23% | 0.30% | 0.16% | 0.29% | 0.71% | 0.48% | 0.58% | 0.41% | 0.46% | 1.10% | 0.77% | 1.34% | 2.77% | 1.89% | +0.04% | 0.3182 |
Offensive Holding | 19.54% | 20.10% | 18.36% | 19.73% | 20.05% | 17.10% | 18.87% | 15.56% | 16.87% | 16.38% | 17.75% | 19.57% | 18.35% | 19.63% | 18.08% | 18.57% | 20.21% | 20.41% | 19.41% | 20.69% | 20.85% | 15.98% | 20.42% | 19.60% | 18.64% | +0.04% | 0.0353 |
Illegal Formation | 0.69% | 1.08% | 1.20% | 0.88% | 0.39% | 1.50% | 1.48% | 1.51% | 1.61% | 1.99% | 1.85% | 2.00% | 1.46% | 1.25% | 1.89% | 1.24% | 1.67% | 1.89% | 1.32% | 2.09% | 1.83% | 1.64% | 2.02% | 1.62% | 1.94% | +0.04% | 0.4155 |
Illegal Use of Hands | 1.99% | 2.77% | 1.73% | 2.13% | 2.16% | 1.61% | 1.64% | 1.55% | 0.72% | 0.98% | 1.22% | 1.26% | 2.22% | 2.49% | 2.37% | 4.85% | 3.31% | 2.59% | 3.16% | 2.06% | 2.78% | 1.67% | 2.33% | 1.81% | 1.89% | +0.03% | 0.0643 |
Horse Collar Tackle | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.74% | 0.88% | 0.75% | 0.96% | 0.50% | 0.37% | 0.58% | 0.61% | 0.41% | 0.55% | 0.73% | 0.50% | 0.33% | 0.32% | +0.03% | 0.4132 |
Offensive Pass Interference | 2.46% | 2.12% | 2.15% | 1.43% | 2.04% | 1.73% | 1.88% | 2.01% | 1.75% | 2.23% | 2.48% | 2.26% | 2.07% | 2.37% | 1.95% | 3.02% | 2.91% | 2.56% | 3.37% | 2.47% | 2.84% | 2.16% | 2.43% | 2.01% | 2.16% | +0.03% | 0.1939 |
Illegal Blindside Block | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.17% | 0.06% | 0.06% | 0.28% | 0.10% | 0.33% | 0.28% | 0.09% | 0.32% | 0.20% | 0.87% | 0.49% | 0.34% | 0.36% | 0.43% | +0.02% | 0.6034 |
Illegal Shift | 0.72% | 0.36% | 0.49% | 0.64% | 0.48% | 0.68% | 0.57% | 0.66% | 0.89% | 0.49% | 0.66% | 0.61% | 0.76% | 0.56% | 0.83% | 0.50% | 0.93% | 0.96% | 0.67% | 1.28% | 1.16% | 0.80% | 0.78% | 0.89% | 1.13% | +0.02% | 0.4566 |
Lowering the Head to Initiate Contact | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.49% | 0.84% | 1.18% | 0.34% | 0.00% | 0.00% | +0.02% | 0.2114 |
Delay of Game | 4.67% | 4.37% | 3.88% | 3.53% | 3.27% | 3.45% | 3.55% | 3.03% | 5.48% | 4.71% | 4.17% | 4.43% | 3.83% | 3.99% | 4.54% | 4.14% | 4.10% | 4.05% | 3.66% | 3.31% | 3.51% | 4.14% | 5.01% | 5.21% | 4.48% | +0.02% | 0.0459 |
Offensive Too Many Men on Field | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.17% | 0.38% | 0.28% | 0.28% | 0.53% | 0.22% | +0.01% | 0.5038 |
Disqualification | 0.09% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.09% | 0.08% | 0.00% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.10% | 0.10% | 0.24% | 0.09% | 0.13% | 0.12% | 0.06% | 0.17% | 0.18% | 0.26% | 0.32% | 0.59% | 0.12% | 0.26% | 0.32% | +0.01% | 0.5134 |
Player Out of Bounds on Kick | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.03% | 0.20% | 0.15% | 0.28% | 0.19% | 0.40% | 0.22% | +0.01% | 0.518 |
Taunting | 0.03% | 0.16% | 0.49% | 0.79% | 0.81% | 1.13% | 0.27% | 0.72% | 0.31% | 0.31% | 0.23% | 0.26% | 0.40% | 0.19% | 0.90% | 0.71% | 0.71% | 0.90% | 0.50% | 0.70% | 0.26% | 0.35% | 1.34% | 0.56% | 0.49% | +0.01% | 0.0529 |
Illegal Double-Team Block | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.46% | 0.38% | 0.31% | 0.07% | 0.05% | +0.01% | 0.2603 |
Low Block | 0.09% | 0.13% | 0.04% | 0.03% | 0.18% | 0.34% | 0.19% | 0.07% | 0.24% | 0.35% | 0.23% | 0.19% | 0.15% | 0.28% | 0.22% | 0.18% | 0.11% | 0.06% | 0.15% | 0.06% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.50% | 0.40% | 0.27% | +0.00% | 0.0494 |
Unsportsmanlike Conduct | 1.56% | 1.01% | 1.06% | 1.16% | 0.57% | 0.79% | 0.81% | 1.84% | 1.64% | 1.57% | 1.55% | 1.36% | 1.67% | 1.12% | 1.50% | 1.83% | 1.92% | 1.86% | 1.99% | 1.39% | 0.90% | 0.84% | 0.96% | 1.06% | 0.92% | +0.00% | 0.004 |
Leverage | 0.06% | 0.03% | 0.18% | 0.12% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.07% | 0.07% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.09% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.03% | 0.35% | 0.29% | 0.17% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.16% | 0.07% | 0.22% | +0.00% | 0.0655 |
Kick Catch Interference | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.15% | 0.17% | 0.03% | 0.06% | 0.00% | 0.05% | +0.00% | 0.2427 |
Lowering the Head to Make Forcible Contact | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.27% | +0.00% | 0.1154 |
Roughing the Kicker | 0.06% | 0.10% | 0.18% | 0.24% | 0.18% | 0.14% | 0.11% | 0.23% | 0.21% | 0.10% | 0.07% | 0.10% | 0.24% | 0.19% | 0.10% | 0.18% | 0.06% | 0.35% | 0.03% | 0.23% | 0.23% | 0.24% | 0.28% | 0.16% | 0.05% | +0.00% | 0.0321 |
Player Out of Bounds on Punt | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.15% | 0.08% | 0.16% | 0.03% | 0.17% | 0.07% | 0.17% | 0.19% | 0.40% | 0.56% | 0.45% | 0.24% | 0.34% | 0.17% | 0.26% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | +0.00% | 0.0033 |
Illegal Peelback | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.13% | 0.00% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.09% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.05% | +0.00% | 0.0716 |
Delay of Kickoff | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.07% | 0.00% | +0.00% | 0.0848 |
Illegal Wedge | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.16% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.00% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | +0.00% | 0.0068 |
Illegal Kick/Kicking Loose Ball | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.03% | 0.00% | +0.00% | 0.097 |
Leaping | 0.06% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.11% | 0.09% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.05% | +0.00% | 0.0004 |
bigggest takeaway for me: false start and defensive offside way down, dpi (and arguably defensive holding) up moderately, the rest holding steady at <5% of penalties called
Sure, I’ll do that for you in a few hours
if anyone’s curious how the rest of the league stacks up in that timeframe, here you go
team | regular_season | regular_season | post_season | total | reg_season_record | post_season_record | combined_record |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PIT | 95 | 95 | 4 | 99 | 63-30-2 (0.674) | 2-2 (.500) | 65-32-2 (.667) |
MIA | 72 | 72 | 1 | 73 | 45-27 (0.625) | 0-1 (.000) | 45-28 (.616) |
KC | 84 | 84 | 10 | 94 | 52-32 (0.619) | 5-5 (.500) | 57-37 (.606) |
GB | 78 | 78 | 7 | 85 | 46-31-1 (0.596) | 3-4 (.429) | 49-35-1 (.582) |
MIN | 84 | 84 | 4 | 88 | 48-35-1 (0.577) | 2-2 (.500) | 50-37-1 (.574) |
LV/OAK | 89 | 89 | 1 | 90 | 51-38 (0.573) | 0-1 (.000) | 51-39 (.567) |
DAL | 70 | 70 | 7 | 77 | 40-30 (0.571) | 2-5 (.286) | 42-35 (.545) |
NE | 66 | 66 | 9 | 75 | 37-29 (0.561) | 6-3 (.667) | 43-32 (.573) |
PHI | 80 | 80 | 6 | 86 | 43-36-1 (0.544) | 3-3 (.500) | 46-39-1 (.541) |
SEA | 88 | 88 | 7 | 95 | 47-40-1 (0.54) | 3-4 (.429) | 50-44-1 (.532) |
WAS | 76 | 76 | 1 | 77 | 40-34-2 (0.539) | 0-1 (.000) | 40-35-2 (.532) |
LA/STL | 70 | 70 | 5 | 75 | 37-33 (0.529) | 5-0 (1.000) | 42-33 (.560) |
NO | 81 | 81 | 5 | 86 | 42-39 (0.519) | 2-3 (.400) | 44-42 (.512) |
TEN | 82 | 82 | 4 | 86 | 42-40 (0.512) | 2-2 (.500) | 44-42 (.512) |
IND | 86 | 86 | 1 | 87 | 43-42-1 (0.506) | 0-1 (.000) | 43-43-1 (.500) |
BUF | 74 | 74 | 5 | 79 | 36-38 (0.486) | 2-3 (.400) | 38-41 (.481) |
ARI | 72 | 72 | 1 | 73 | 34-36-2 (0.486) | 1-0 (1.000) | 35-36-2 (.493) |
DET | 84 | 84 | 1 | 85 | 39-43-2 (0.476) | 0-1 (.000) | 39-44-2 (.471) |
ATL | 89 | 89 | 2 | 91 | 42-47 (0.472) | 0-2 (.000) | 42-49 (.462) |
SF | 70 | 70 | 4 | 74 | 33-37 (0.471) | 3-1 (.750) | 36-38 (.486) |
BAL | 88 | 88 | 4 | 92 | 41-47 (0.466) | 1-3 (.250) | 42-50 (.457) |
DEN | 81 | 81 | 2 | 83 | 37-44 (0.457) | 2-0 (1.000) | 39-44 (.470) |
HOU | 81 | 81 | 1 | 82 | 36-44-1 (0.451) | 1-0 (1.000) | 37-44-1 (.457) |
TB | 85 | 85 | 3 | 88 | 38-47 (0.447) | 2-1 (.667) | 40-48 (.455) |
NYG | 85 | 85 | 1 | 86 | 37-47-1 (0.441) | 1-0 (1.000) | 38-47-1 (.448) |
CAR | 81 | 81 | 2 | 83 | 35-45-1 (0.438) | 1-1 (.500) | 36-46-1 (.440) |
LAC/SD | 98 | 98 | 2 | 100 | 42-56 (0.429) | 1-1 (.500) | 43-57 (.430) |
CIN | 73 | 73 | 7 | 80 | 29-41-3 (0.418) | 4-3 (.571) | 33-44-3 (.431) |
NYJ | 82 | 82 | 0 | 82 | 34-48 (0.415) | n/a | 34-48 (.415) |
CHI | 85 | 85 | 1 | 86 | 35-50 (0.412) | 0-1 (.000) | 35-51 (.407) |
CLE | 75 | 75 | 1 | 76 | 30-44-1 (0.407) | 0-1 (.000) | 30-45-1 (.401) |
JAX | 70 | 70 | 5 | 75 | 23-47 (0.329) | 3-2 (.600) | 26-49 (.347) |
week 9 2018 pitted the 2-7 49ers against the 1-6 raiders.
it was 14-3 by two minutes into the 2nd quarter, after which point the 9ers scored another twenty points and the raiders scored another…zero
what’s the fort meyers connection to LAR @ GB?
He’s certainly outpacing everyone but himself on a per-game basis: through four games, only 2018 Alvin Kamara has 35 receptions. Second place is 2020 Alvin Kamara, with 30, tied with Mike Davis in 2020 and Le’Veon Bell in 2016.
what’s the record through seven games?
Weird. Both the Browns and Bills played all their games at 1:00 that year…something that hasn’t happened in any of the other years from 2000 - 2022