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jfgivBto NFL@nfl.community•Taking all the data for the last 12 seasons, not a single team has a positive rushing EPA. Do we need to readjust how we use EPA? Is this causing too many pass happy teams this season?English1·2 years agohow is EPA currently calculated
jfgivBto NFL@nfl.community•Explain how the Saints will operate next year with their cap situation.English1·2 years agothey’ll restructure
edit: by my quick back-of-the-napkin math, they can clear up to $103,327,015 worth of space by restructuring the contracts they have on the books. they can also clear $34.293,164 through cuts.
jfgivBto NFL@nfl.community•Has anyone else found themselves enjoying watching football much less than years prior due to the number of penalties?English1·2 years agoreally hasn’t been that pronounced even in the usual suspects of “game’s gotten soft”:
Season Defensive Pass Interference Defensive Holding Roughing the Passer Unnecessary Roughness 1999 1.09 0.50 0.27 0.56 2000 1.01 0.63 0.30 0.48 2001 0.88 0.42 0.31 0.34 2002 0.93 0.49 0.39 0.50 2003 0.86 0.59 0.42 0.55 2004 0.69 0.57 0.50 0.43 2005 0.78 0.77 0.45 0.42 2006 0.64 0.50 0.37 0.52 2007 0.57 0.32 0.23 0.48 2008 0.61 0.49 0.22 0.60 2009 0.69 0.41 0.26 0.52 2010 0.76 0.39 0.34 0.64 2011 0.80 0.48 0.39 0.74 2012 0.95 0.56 0.36 0.85 2013 0.94 0.67 0.35 1.06 2014 0.80 0.84 0.39 0.82 2015 0.90 0.85 0.39 0.89 2016 1.09 0.80 0.33 0.76 2017 1.04 0.93 0.41 0.78 2018 0.93 0.93 0.45 0.80 2019 1.05 0.95 0.52 0.61 2020 1.20 0.66 0.48 0.63 2021 1.10 0.57 0.55 0.59 2022 0.83 0.77 0.34 0.57 2023 1.09 0.74 0.43 0.65 We’re talking about an extra defensive holding every five games. an extra roughing the passer every eight.
jfgivBto NFL@nfl.community•Has anyone else found themselves enjoying watching football much less than years prior due to the number of penalties?English1·2 years agoSure, I’ll do that for you in a few hours
I will say that the share of first downs achieved by penalty is similarly pretty stable
edit: busy as hell, and hitting the character limit so i’ll split into increases and decreases, but here you go, sorted by highest increase to smallest increase (decreases in child comment)
penalty_type 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Slope r^2 Neutral Zone Infraction 0.59% 0.52% 0.85% 0.94% 1.26% 1.08% 0.81% 1.18% 1.51% 1.57% 1.79% 2.29% 3.62% 3.55% 3.90% 3.52% 4.64% 3.41% 3.69% 4.16% 4.70% 5.36% 3.52% 2.71% 3.08% +0.17% 0.7198 Defensive Holding 3.83% 5.05% 3.71% 3.80% 4.53% 4.13% 5.33% 4.21% 2.84% 4.36% 3.47% 3.26% 3.77% 4.49% 5.47% 6.39% 6.14% 6.00% 6.94% 6.95% 7.08% 5.85% 4.86% 6.93% 6.00% +0.12% 0.4888 Unnecessary Roughness 4.33% 3.84% 3.00% 3.92% 4.26% 3.14% 2.88% 4.41% 4.24% 5.33% 4.43% 5.26% 5.78% 6.79% 8.70% 6.21% 6.47% 5.68% 5.83% 5.99% 4.52% 5.57% 4.98% 5.11% 5.29% +0.10% 0.3082 Defensive Pass Interference 8.35% 8.08% 7.73% 7.23% 6.63% 5.01% 5.36% 5.36% 5.03% 5.47% 5.85% 6.27% 6.24% 7.57% 7.68% 6.09% 6.53% 8.12% 7.82% 6.89% 7.80% 10.72% 9.34% 7.39% 8.86% +0.08% 0.1901 Defensive Too Many Men on Field 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 1.22% 0.87% 1.08% 1.09% 1.35% 1.03% +0.05% 0.5435 Roughing the Passer 2.06% 2.41% 2.72% 3.04% 3.21% 3.62% 3.12% 3.13% 1.98% 1.99% 2.18% 2.78% 3.04% 2.90% 2.85% 2.93% 2.86% 2.47% 3.10% 3.31% 3.89% 4.25% 4.64% 3.00% 3.51% +0.05% 0.284 Ineligible Downfield Pass 0.44% 0.68% 0.42% 0.40% 0.48% 0.34% 0.38% 0.20% 0.79% 0.80% 0.89% 0.23% 0.30% 0.16% 0.29% 0.71% 0.48% 0.58% 0.41% 0.46% 1.10% 0.77% 1.34% 2.77% 1.89% +0.04% 0.3182 Offensive Holding 19.54% 20.10% 18.36% 19.73% 20.05% 17.10% 18.87% 15.56% 16.87% 16.38% 17.75% 19.57% 18.35% 19.63% 18.08% 18.57% 20.21% 20.41% 19.41% 20.69% 20.85% 15.98% 20.42% 19.60% 18.64% +0.04% 0.0353 Illegal Formation 0.69% 1.08% 1.20% 0.88% 0.39% 1.50% 1.48% 1.51% 1.61% 1.99% 1.85% 2.00% 1.46% 1.25% 1.89% 1.24% 1.67% 1.89% 1.32% 2.09% 1.83% 1.64% 2.02% 1.62% 1.94% +0.04% 0.4155 Illegal Use of Hands 1.99% 2.77% 1.73% 2.13% 2.16% 1.61% 1.64% 1.55% 0.72% 0.98% 1.22% 1.26% 2.22% 2.49% 2.37% 4.85% 3.31% 2.59% 3.16% 2.06% 2.78% 1.67% 2.33% 1.81% 1.89% +0.03% 0.0643 Horse Collar Tackle 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.74% 0.88% 0.75% 0.96% 0.50% 0.37% 0.58% 0.61% 0.41% 0.55% 0.73% 0.50% 0.33% 0.32% +0.03% 0.4132 Offensive Pass Interference 2.46% 2.12% 2.15% 1.43% 2.04% 1.73% 1.88% 2.01% 1.75% 2.23% 2.48% 2.26% 2.07% 2.37% 1.95% 3.02% 2.91% 2.56% 3.37% 2.47% 2.84% 2.16% 2.43% 2.01% 2.16% +0.03% 0.1939 Illegal Blindside Block 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.17% 0.06% 0.06% 0.28% 0.10% 0.33% 0.28% 0.09% 0.32% 0.20% 0.87% 0.49% 0.34% 0.36% 0.43% +0.02% 0.6034 Illegal Shift 0.72% 0.36% 0.49% 0.64% 0.48% 0.68% 0.57% 0.66% 0.89% 0.49% 0.66% 0.61% 0.76% 0.56% 0.83% 0.50% 0.93% 0.96% 0.67% 1.28% 1.16% 0.80% 0.78% 0.89% 1.13% +0.02% 0.4566 Lowering the Head to Initiate Contact 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.49% 0.84% 1.18% 0.34% 0.00% 0.00% +0.02% 0.2114 Delay of Game 4.67% 4.37% 3.88% 3.53% 3.27% 3.45% 3.55% 3.03% 5.48% 4.71% 4.17% 4.43% 3.83% 3.99% 4.54% 4.14% 4.10% 4.05% 3.66% 3.31% 3.51% 4.14% 5.01% 5.21% 4.48% +0.02% 0.0459 Offensive Too Many Men on Field 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.06% 0.17% 0.38% 0.28% 0.28% 0.53% 0.22% +0.01% 0.5038 Disqualification 0.09% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.09% 0.08% 0.00% 0.03% 0.03% 0.03% 0.10% 0.10% 0.24% 0.09% 0.13% 0.12% 0.06% 0.17% 0.18% 0.26% 0.32% 0.59% 0.12% 0.26% 0.32% +0.01% 0.5134 Player Out of Bounds on Kick 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.20% 0.15% 0.28% 0.19% 0.40% 0.22% +0.01% 0.518 Taunting 0.03% 0.16% 0.49% 0.79% 0.81% 1.13% 0.27% 0.72% 0.31% 0.31% 0.23% 0.26% 0.40% 0.19% 0.90% 0.71% 0.71% 0.90% 0.50% 0.70% 0.26% 0.35% 1.34% 0.56% 0.49% +0.01% 0.0529 Illegal Double-Team Block 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.46% 0.38% 0.31% 0.07% 0.05% +0.01% 0.2603 Low Block 0.09% 0.13% 0.04% 0.03% 0.18% 0.34% 0.19% 0.07% 0.24% 0.35% 0.23% 0.19% 0.15% 0.28% 0.22% 0.18% 0.11% 0.06% 0.15% 0.06% 0.03% 0.00% 0.50% 0.40% 0.27% +0.00% 0.0494 Unsportsmanlike Conduct 1.56% 1.01% 1.06% 1.16% 0.57% 0.79% 0.81% 1.84% 1.64% 1.57% 1.55% 1.36% 1.67% 1.12% 1.50% 1.83% 1.92% 1.86% 1.99% 1.39% 0.90% 0.84% 0.96% 1.06% 0.92% +0.00% 0.004 Leverage 0.06% 0.03% 0.18% 0.12% 0.06% 0.11% 0.03% 0.03% 0.07% 0.07% 0.00% 0.06% 0.09% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.35% 0.29% 0.17% 0.03% 0.03% 0.16% 0.07% 0.22% +0.00% 0.0655 Kick Catch Interference 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.15% 0.17% 0.03% 0.06% 0.00% 0.05% +0.00% 0.2427 Lowering the Head to Make Forcible Contact 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.27% +0.00% 0.1154 Roughing the Kicker 0.06% 0.10% 0.18% 0.24% 0.18% 0.14% 0.11% 0.23% 0.21% 0.10% 0.07% 0.10% 0.24% 0.19% 0.10% 0.18% 0.06% 0.35% 0.03% 0.23% 0.23% 0.24% 0.28% 0.16% 0.05% +0.00% 0.0321 Player Out of Bounds on Punt 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.15% 0.08% 0.16% 0.03% 0.17% 0.07% 0.17% 0.19% 0.40% 0.56% 0.45% 0.24% 0.34% 0.17% 0.26% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% +0.00% 0.0033 Illegal Peelback 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.03% 0.00% 0.13% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.09% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.05% +0.00% 0.0716 Delay of Kickoff 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.07% 0.00% +0.00% 0.0848 Illegal Wedge 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.16% 0.00% 0.06% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% +0.00% 0.0068 Illegal Kick/Kicking Loose Ball 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% +0.00% 0.097 Leaping 0.06% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.03% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.06% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.11% 0.09% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.05% +0.00% 0.0004
jfgivBto NFL@nfl.community•Has anyone else found themselves enjoying watching football much less than years prior due to the number of penalties?English1·2 years agobigggest takeaway for me: false start and defensive offside way down, dpi (and arguably defensive holding) up moderately, the rest holding steady at <5% of penalties called
jfgivBto NFL@nfl.community•Has anyone else found themselves enjoying watching football much less than years prior due to the number of penalties?English1·2 years agoSure, I’ll do that for you in a few hours
jfgivBto NFL@nfl.community•Every Single One of the Chargers' 98 (100) One-Score Games Since 2014English1·2 years agoif anyone’s curious how the rest of the league stacks up in that timeframe, here you go
team regular_season regular_season post_season total reg_season_record post_season_record combined_record PIT 95 95 4 99 63-30-2 (0.674) 2-2 (.500) 65-32-2 (.667) MIA 72 72 1 73 45-27 (0.625) 0-1 (.000) 45-28 (.616) KC 84 84 10 94 52-32 (0.619) 5-5 (.500) 57-37 (.606) GB 78 78 7 85 46-31-1 (0.596) 3-4 (.429) 49-35-1 (.582) MIN 84 84 4 88 48-35-1 (0.577) 2-2 (.500) 50-37-1 (.574) LV/OAK 89 89 1 90 51-38 (0.573) 0-1 (.000) 51-39 (.567) DAL 70 70 7 77 40-30 (0.571) 2-5 (.286) 42-35 (.545) NE 66 66 9 75 37-29 (0.561) 6-3 (.667) 43-32 (.573) PHI 80 80 6 86 43-36-1 (0.544) 3-3 (.500) 46-39-1 (.541) SEA 88 88 7 95 47-40-1 (0.54) 3-4 (.429) 50-44-1 (.532) WAS 76 76 1 77 40-34-2 (0.539) 0-1 (.000) 40-35-2 (.532) LA/STL 70 70 5 75 37-33 (0.529) 5-0 (1.000) 42-33 (.560) NO 81 81 5 86 42-39 (0.519) 2-3 (.400) 44-42 (.512) TEN 82 82 4 86 42-40 (0.512) 2-2 (.500) 44-42 (.512) IND 86 86 1 87 43-42-1 (0.506) 0-1 (.000) 43-43-1 (.500) BUF 74 74 5 79 36-38 (0.486) 2-3 (.400) 38-41 (.481) ARI 72 72 1 73 34-36-2 (0.486) 1-0 (1.000) 35-36-2 (.493) DET 84 84 1 85 39-43-2 (0.476) 0-1 (.000) 39-44-2 (.471) ATL 89 89 2 91 42-47 (0.472) 0-2 (.000) 42-49 (.462) SF 70 70 4 74 33-37 (0.471) 3-1 (.750) 36-38 (.486) BAL 88 88 4 92 41-47 (0.466) 1-3 (.250) 42-50 (.457) DEN 81 81 2 83 37-44 (0.457) 2-0 (1.000) 39-44 (.470) HOU 81 81 1 82 36-44-1 (0.451) 1-0 (1.000) 37-44-1 (.457) TB 85 85 3 88 38-47 (0.447) 2-1 (.667) 40-48 (.455) NYG 85 85 1 86 37-47-1 (0.441) 1-0 (1.000) 38-47-1 (.448) CAR 81 81 2 83 35-45-1 (0.438) 1-1 (.500) 36-46-1 (.440) LAC/SD 98 98 2 100 42-56 (0.429) 1-1 (.500) 43-57 (.430) CIN 73 73 7 80 29-41-3 (0.418) 4-3 (.571) 33-44-3 (.431) NYJ 82 82 0 82 34-48 (0.415) n/a 34-48 (.415) CHI 85 85 1 86 35-50 (0.412) 0-1 (.000) 35-51 (.407) CLE 75 75 1 76 30-44-1 (0.407) 0-1 (.000) 30-45-1 (.401) JAX 70 70 5 75 23-47 (0.329) 3-2 (.600) 26-49 (.347)
week 9 2018 pitted the 2-7 49ers against the 1-6 raiders.
it was 14-3 by two minutes into the 2nd quarter, after which point the 9ers scored another twenty points and the raiders scored another…zero
what’s the fort meyers connection to LAR @ GB?
jfgivBto NFL@nfl.community•Alvin Kamara is on pace for 123 receptions this year. The NFL record for a running back is 116.English1·2 years agoHe’s certainly outpacing everyone but himself on a per-game basis: through four games, only 2018 Alvin Kamara has 35 receptions. Second place is 2020 Alvin Kamara, with 30, tied with Mike Davis in 2020 and Le’Veon Bell in 2016.
jfgivBto NFL@nfl.community•Alvin Kamara is on pace for 123 receptions this year. The NFL record for a running back is 116.English1·2 years agowhat’s the record through seven games?
Weird. Both the Browns and Bills played all their games at 1:00 that year…something that hasn’t happened in any of the other years from 2000 - 2022